Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Wednesday, November 26, 2014 - Evening Weather Discussion

The storm today worked out pretty much as expected in Northwest New Jersey but probably fell short in eastern sections, much as the short-range American model was indicating.  It seems that areas which ended up about as expected were west of Rt. 206, north of Routes 78 and Rt. 24 and about 5 miles inland from the Hudson River give or take.  Snowfall totals would have been higher but the snow was quite wet and compacted quite a bit, making snowfall look less than it is, but when you go to shovel it you will notice that the water content is quite high and it is back breaking snow.

The high water content of the snow makes it very heavy and has caused a significant number of power outages in Northern New Jersey.  Click here to view the latest outage map from First Energy and click here to view the outage map from Orange & Rockland Electric.   

There were even reports of thundersnow today, which is rare and shows the intensity and rapid intensification of the storm. 

Anyway, moving forward the steady snow will come to an end around 10-11 pm with the light snow and snow showers ending by around 2-3 am tomorrow morning. 

We will then have a variably cloudy Thanksgiving Day with a slight chance of a snow shower in the afternoon and evening.  The high will be in the mid 30’s.

Black Friday will then be mostly sunny but quite cold in the morning with lows in the mid to upper teens and highs in the low 30’s.

Saturday there will be a chance of some light snow from the late morning into the early afternoon.  It will be quite cold with a low in the mid to upper teens and highs in the low to mid 30’s.

Sunday will be variably cloudy and warmer with highs in the mid 40’s.

Monday night into Tuesday morning we will have a chance of light rain or light snow with highs on Monday in the upper 40’s.

Tuesday night into Wednesday morning we will have another chance of some light rain or light snow with highs in the mid to upper 30’s on Tuesday and the mid to upper 40’s on Wednesday.

Thursday and Friday we will have a chance of rain or snow with highs in the low to mid 40’s.

Next Saturday through Monday should be mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 40’s.

Next Tuesday we will have a chance of rain or snow with highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s.

Lots of unsettled weather ahead so be sure to check back for updates as things become a bit more clear. 

Have a wonderful evening!

And if you want to escape all of this stuff, my dad happens to own a real estate company in Florida. Click here to view his company website.  

Follow this blog @ TheEdgeWeather on Twitter.

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Power Outages Are Becoming More Widespread

There are now more widespread power outages starting to occur in Northern New Jersey due to the heavy nature of the snow.  Click here to view the power outage map from First Energy.

Thundersnow Just Reported

There were just reports of thundersnow in Oakland, Bergen County and Paterson, Passaic County, courtesy of Donna Luberger in Oakland and Peter Zuroff in Paterson.  

Thanks for the reports!


Localized Power Outages

There are some localized Power outages now being reported due to the heavy nature of the snow or accidents with people taking out the poles.  My DSL service is now down. 

Heavy Snow in NW NJ, Plows are Out, Roads are Dangerous

There is heavy snow now in Northwest New Jersey.  The plows are out and the roads are dangerous. Anyone who can avoid travel now in Northwest New Jersey should do so.


Latest Snowfall Output Map

Click here or on the map below to view the latest snowfall output map from the short-range American model.

I don't think that sharp cutoff will really happen in Northeastern New Jersey like it is showing, but we will soon know.

This will be the last snowfall map posted on this storm.  Now we will just have to see what happens.

I still expect a widespread 6-12 inches across all of Northern New Jersey with the possibility of some amounts over a foot in the higher elevations of Northwestern New Jersey.


Rain Has Changed to Snow in Northwestern NJ

When I woke up this morning it was 40 degrees.  As expected, after the precipitation started to fall the temperature has now fallen to 35 degrees and the light rain has changed to snow, albeit still a a wet snow.  Temperatures will continue to fall to near freezing throughout all of Northern New Jersey and everyone should be snow within the next couple of hours.

If you are out and about right now you should be finalizing any travel as rapidly as possible in Northwestern New Jersey and within the next few hours in Northeastern New Jersey.

Wednesday, November 26, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

The precipitation started briefly as some snow flurries here at my location shortly after 5 am but at the moment it is a bit of drizzle.  Yes, it can snow at temperatures above freezing under the right conditions and those conditions will be right after the precipitation starts to increase in intensity over the next couple of hours, and then we will have snow, heavy at times later this morning and into tonight. 

I am still expecting accumulations of 6-12 inches throughout Northern New Jersey with the lower amounts likely near the Hudson River and the higher amounts in the higher elevations of Northwestern New Jersey.  Amounts over one foot are possible in some of the higher locations of Northwestern New Jersey. 

The snow should start to lessen in intensity by around 10 pm tonight and come to an end around 4 am tomorrow morning.  We will then have variably cloudy skies with a chance of a snow shower or flurry and highs in the mid 30’s for Thanksgiving Day.

Black Friday will then be quite cold with lows dropping as low as the mid teens in the colder locations and highs in the low to mid 30’s.

Saturday will start out brutally cold with lows dropping as low as the upper single digits in the coldest locations to the upper teens in the warmer locations and highs in the mid 30’s.

Sunday it will be warmer with a chance of a shower and highs in the mid 40’s.

Monday we will have a chance of showers in the afternoon as a cold front approaches with a chance of some light snow or snow showers at night.  The high on Monday should be in the upper 40’s.

Tuesday should then be mostly sunny but cold with highs in the mid 30’s.

Next Wednesday and Thursday there will be a chance of showers with highs in the mid 40’s.

Next Friday a cold front will be very close to our area and depending on whether it sets up to our north or south we will have a chance of rain or snow with highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s.

Next Saturday there will be a chance of rain or snow as a storm may develop along the stalled out front. Depending on whether we are on the north or south side of the cold front we will have a chance either rain or snow again with highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s.

Next Sunday and Monday should be mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 40’s.

Next Tuesday we will have a chance of rain or snow as a coastal low may form.  Highs will be in the upper 30’s to low 40’s.

Have a wonderful day!

And if you want to escape all of this stuff, my dad happens to own a real estate company in Florida. Click here to view his company website.  

Follow this blog @ TheEdgeWeather on Twitter.
Also, you can access this blog at the following web addresses: edgeweather.com, theedgeweather.com, theedgeweather.net, edgeweather.net, theedgeweather.us, and edgeweather.us