Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Wednesday, October 22, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

Well, I had been talking about a possible Nor’easter for the beginning of this week for about 2 weeks now.  It all started to come true yesterday when hail and water spouts were seen along Coastal New Jersey and very heavy rains popped up over localized sections of Northeastern New Jersey late yesterday.

As the Nor’easter continues to strengthen today the rains should pick up this afternoon and tonight, before tapering to showers again tomorrow and only a slight chance on Friday.  The highs will be only in the low 50’s today, the low to mid 50’s tomorrow, then the mid 50’s on Friday.

Saturday we will have a nice morning, followed by increasing cloudiness and a slight chance of a shower at night.  It will be warmer with a high in the low 60’s.

Sunday we will have a slight chance of a shower and it will be cooler with a high in the low to mid 50’s.

Monday will be nice but cool with lows dropping to the mid 30’s to low 40’s and the highs in the mid 50’s.

Tuesday will be nice and much warmer with highs in the upper 60’s.

Wednesday will continue to be warm with highs in the upper 60’s, but there will be a slight chance of a shower as a cold front approaches. 

Next Thursday through Saturday will be variably cloudy with a slight chance of a shower each day and highs will be in the mid 50’s next Thursday, dropping to around 50 next Friday, then rising to the mid 60’s next Saturday as a cold front approaches.

Next Sunday will then be much colder behind the cold front with temperatures remaining in the low to mid 40’s during the day, dropping into the mid to upper 30’s at night with a chance of a snow shower. 

Next Monday should be nice, but very cold with lows in the 20’s and highs only in the low to mid 40’s.

Next Tuesday will be variably cloudy with a slight chance of a snow shower at night.  Lows will be around 30 and highs will be in the mid 40’s.

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Wednesday, October 22, 2014 - Look at the Next 2 Weeks

TODAY – chance of showers this morning, rain likely this afternoon and tonight, high in the low 50’s

TOMORROW – variably cloudy, chance of a shower, low in the mid to upper 40’s, high in the low to mid 50’s

FRIDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower in the morning, then clearing in the afternoon, low in the mid to upper 40’s, high in the mid 50’s

SATURDAY – mostly sunny in the morning, increasing cloudiness in the afternoon, slight chance of a shower at night, low in the low to mid 40’s, high in the low 60’s

SUNDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower, low in the mid to upper 40’s, high in the low to mid 50’s

MONDAY – mostly sunny, low from the mid 30’s to the low 40’s, high in the mid 50’s

TUESDAY – mostly sunny, low in the upper 30’s to low 40’s, high in the upper 60’s

NEXT WEDNESDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower, low in the mid to upper 40’s, high in the upper 60’s

NEXT THURSDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower, low in the low to mid 40’s, high in the mid 50’s

NEXT FRIDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower, low in the upper 30’s to low 40’s, high in the upper 40’s to low 50’s

NEXT SATURDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower, low in the mid 50’s, high in the mid 60’s

NEXT SUNDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a snow shower at night, morning highs in the low to mid 40’s, and remain there during the day, then dropping to the mid to upper 30’s in the evening

NEXT MONDAY – mostly sunny, low in the 20’s, high in the low to mid 40’s

NEXT TUESDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a snow shower at night, low in the upper 20’s to low 30’s, high in the mid 40’s

Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Localized Very Heavy Rains Over Northeast NJ

There are localized very heavy rains over parts of Northeastern NJ and one very small storm near Green Township and Byram in Sussex County.  These storms are not moving at all and are dropping very heavy rains as a result.

These storms were not expected but are the result of the Nor'easter developing that I have been talking about for 2 weeks now.  I was seeing the signs of this being a potentially powerful Nor'easter for 2 weeks.  It is now happening.

The rains will become widespread tomorrow night as the Nor'easter starts to intensify. Winds will also increase tomorrow evening.

Water spouts and hail were seen in parts of coastal NJ this afternoon.

Yeah, I nailed this one from like two weeks out.

Have a nice evening.

Quick Update

Nor'easter to develop off the New Jersey coast tomorrow.  Worst of rains now will be tomorrow night into Thursday morning when steady rains will fall. Showers still likely tomorrow morning and Thursday afternoon into early Friday morning.

Tuesday, October 21, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

Well, I had been talking about the possibility of a Nor'easter for the middle of this week for around 2 weeks now and it is about to happen.  A storm system will approach the East Coast today, causing a Nor'easter to develop tomorrow and Thursday, then slowly move out on Friday.  This will bring us some damp weather today through Friday, with the worst of the weather being tomorrow morning with some steady rain likely.  The rest of the time there will be just be a chance of some showers.

Highs will be around 60 today, dropping to the 50’s tomorrow through Friday.

We may then see an extended period of nice weather for Saturday through next Thursday with highs around 60 on Saturday, dropping to the mid to upper 50’s for Sunday and Monday, then possibly rising to the low 70’s on Tuesday ahead of an approaching cold front, then dropping back to the mid to upper 50’s next Wednesday and Thursday behind the front.  The front should be dry.

The only possible wrinkle with this forecast would be the small possibility of a storm developing in the Southeast Gulf of Mexico.  Right now it does not look as if this storm will develop, hence the dry forecast.  If by any chance this storm were to develop, it would bring us some rain for the middle of next week, but that currently looks unlikely. 

Next Friday through Monday currently looks variably cloudy with a slight chance of a shower each day and highs in the 50’s to around 60.

The period just beyond this forecast still looks as if it could bring us much colder winter-like temperatures with a small chance of some winter-like precipitation as well.  We shall see…

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Tuesday, October 21, 2014 - Morning Look at the Next 2 Weeks

TODAY – cloudy, chance of showers, high in the upper 50’s to low 60’s

TOMORROW – rain likely in the morning, chance of a shower in the afternoon and at night, low in the upper 40’s, high in the mid 50’s

THURSDAY – cloudy, chance of showers, low in the mid to upper 40’s, high in the low to mid 50’s

FRIDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower, low in the mid to upper 40’s, high in the mid to upper 50’s

SATURDAY – mostly sunny, low in the mid to upper 40’s, high in the upper 50’s to low 60’s

SUNDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower, low in the mid to upper 40’s, high in the mid 50’s

MONDAY – mostly sunny, low in the mid to upper 30’s, high in the upper 50’s

NEXT TUESDAY – mostly sunny in the morning, variably cloudy in the afternoon and night, low in the low to mid 40’s, high in the low 70’s

NEXT WEDNESDAY – mostly sunny, low in the upper 40’s, high in the upper 50’s

NEXT THURSDAY – mostly sunny, low in the low to mid 30’s, high in the mid 50’s

NEXT FRIDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower, low in the mid to upper 30’s, high in the mid 50’s

NEXT SATURDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower, low in the low to mid 40’s, high in the mid to upper 50’s

NEXT SUNDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower, low in the mid 40’s, high in the upper 50’s to low 60’s

NEXT MONDAY – variably cloudy, chance of showers, temperatures remaining in the low 50’s all day

Monday, October 20, 2014

Monday, October 20, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

The first freeze of the season at my location, as the low dropped to 31.6 degrees this morning.

A storm system will start to approach our area tonight, bringing with it a chance for a shower late tonight and a high in the mid 50’s.

Tomorrow will be warmer ahead of the storm system with a chance of a shower early in the morning and again in the late afternoon and at night.  The highs should be in the low 60’s.

Wednesday a Nor’easter will develop off the New Jersey coast, bringing us steady rain and a high in the low to mid 50’s.

The rain will continue into Thursday morning, with a continued chance for showers on Thursday afternoon and night and highs in the mid 50’s.

Friday will be variably cloudy with a slight chance of a shower and highs in the upper 50’s

The Nor’easter will finally move away and Saturday through next Tuesday should be mostly sunny with warming temperatures ahead of the next cold front.  High temperatures will be in the low 60’s Saturday through Monday, rising to the upper 60’s next Tuesday.

Friday and Saturday a Tropical Depression may make its way into the Gulf of Mexico near the Florida Keys, but it now looks as if this storm will not have a chance to develop due to an unfavorable upper level wind flow.  This will cause the storm to shear out across the Florida Keys and extreme Southern Florida, before heading toward the Bahamas, then out to sea. 

Next Wednesday a cold front will approach, bringing a chance of showers and highs in the 50’s.

Next Thursday and Friday will then be much colder behind the front with lows around freezing and highs only in the upper 40’s.

Next Saturday another cold front will approach.  The day will start out nice but then clouds will increase with a chance of showers at night.  The highs next Saturday should be in the low 50’s.

Next Sunday we will have a chance of showers with temperatures remaining in the low 50’s all day.

Just beyond the next two weeks, it still looks as if some winter-like temperatures may invade our area, with even a slight chance of some winter-like precipitation sometime between November 2nd and November 6th.  We shall see.  Stay tuned…

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Monday, October 20, 2014 - Look at the Next 2 Weeks

TODAY – mostly sunny this morning, increasing cloudiness this afternoon, chance of a shower late tonight, high in the mid 50’s

TOMORROW – chance of a shower early in the morning, then again in the late afternoon and at night, low in the mid 40’s, high in the low 60’s

WEDNESDAY – rain likely, low in the upper 40’s to low 50’s, high in the low to mid 50’s

THURSDAY – rain likely in the morning, chance of a shower in the afternoon and at night, low in the mid to upper 40’s, high in the mid 50’s

FRIDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower, low in the upper 40’s, high in the upper 50’s

SATURDAY – mostly sunny early, increasing cloudiness late in the day, low in the upper 40’s, high in the low 60’s

SUNDAY – mostly sunny, low in the mid to upper 40’s, high in the upper 50’s to low 60’s

NEXT MONDAY – mostly sunny, low in the mid to upper 30’s, high in the low 60’s

NEXT TUESDAY – mostly sunny, low in the low to mid 40’s, high in the upper 60’s

NEXT WEDNESDAY – chance of a shower in the morning, slight chance of a shower in the late afternoon or evening, early morning highs in the mid to upper 50’s, dropping to the upper 40’s to low 50’s by around sunrise, then rising to the low to mid 50’s in the afternoon

NEXT THURSDAY – mostly sunny, low in the low to mid 30’s, high in the upper 40’s

NEXT FRIDAY – mostly sunny, low in the low to mid 30’s, high in the upper 40’s

NEXT SATURDAY – mostly sunny in the morning, increasing cloudiness in the afternoon, chance of a shower at night, low in the low to mid 30’s, high in the low 50’s

NEXT SUNDAY – chance of showers, temperatures remaining in the low 50’s all day