Sunday, August 30, 2015

Sunday, August 30, 2015 - Evening Weather Discussion

Erika is no more but the Pacific is producing hurricanes consistently...

Erika died out and this will leave us with some fantastic weather over the next two weeks. There will be just a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm pretty much every day through Labor Day, then a better chance of showers and thunderstorms next Tuesday and Wednesday as a strong cold front moves through our area.

Highs will rise to around 90 every day through Friday, then drop back to the mid 80's for the weekend and Labor Day, then to the mid 70's by the following weekend.

As for the Pacific Ocean, Ignacio and Jimena should both go north of Hawaii. There could be some rain from Ignacio on Tuesday and Hawaii will still need to keep a close eye on Jimena because this storm is still at least a week away.

As for us, the calm weather continues...

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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Sunday, August 30, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

Erika is no more. State of Emergency in Florida? And the Pacific is boiling with storms, including a category 4 Hurricane. Kilo, Ignacio, Jimena, and quite possibly another just behind those…

As I had been saying for days, Hispaniola can kill Tropical Storms as the tall mountains there do severe damage to the circulation of the systems. In addition, the Atlantic is simply not favorable for development this year and even if and when the storms do develop, they will often break apart before they ever reach our area. This is because the cold fronts have been pushing through our area on a regular basis. There was however a bit of relaxation in the pattern for the past two weeks, which did allow Erika to strengthen and head in our direction, but Hispaniola did her in. I was quite surprised that the Governor of Florida declared a State of Emergency the other day.

As for what this means for us, it means we will have a pretty darn nice next two weeks, and it will be quite warm as well, with temperatures warming to around 90 in many places Tuesday through Friday. However, it does look as if the remnants of Erika may come close enough to our area the middle to end of this week to bring us a chance of a shower or thunderstorm and highs in the mid 80’s each day from Wednesday through Labor Day as her remnants may remain off the Middle Atlantic Coast. A strong cold front will then move through next Tuesday, drying us out and cooling us down for next Wednesday through Saturday with highs dropping from around 80 to the mid 70’s by next Saturday.

As for the Pacific Ocean, things are quite different there as the water temperatures are warmer than normal this summer, allowing one storm after the other to develop. Hawaii has actually been very lucky with the storms so far moving just north and south of the islands, although Kilo did bring Hawaii some significant flooding. Next up is Hurricane Ignacio which will approach Hawaii on Tuesday. Ignacio may come close enough to bring Hawaii some heavy rain and a bit of wind, but it looks as if Ignacio will go just far enough north of the islands to spare them the worst. Click here for more information on Hurricane Ignacio from the National Hurricane Center.

Then, next up is Hurricane Jimena which is currently a category 4 storm and may very well become a category 5 storm (the strongest possible). Luckily it currently looks as if Jimena will also turn north of Hawaii, however, this storm is still a long way away and Hawaii will need to keep a close eye on this storm. Click here for more information on Jimena from the National Hurricane Center and click here to view an incredible satellite image of Hurricanes Kilo, Ignacio, Jimena, and quite possibly another one just behind Jimena. Unreal…

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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Sunday, August 30, 2015 - Look at the Next 2 Weeks

TODAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, high in the mid 80’s

TOMORROW – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the mid to upper 80’s

TUESDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs from the mid 80’s to the low 90’s

WEDNESDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the upper 80’s to low 90’s

THURSDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the upper 60’s to low 70’s, highs in the upper 80’s to low 90’s

FRIDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the upper 60’s to low 70’s, highs in the upper 80’s to low 90’s

SATURDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the mid 80’s

NEXT SUNDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the low to mid 80’s

LABOR DAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the mid 80’s

NEXT TUESDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the mid 80’s

NEXT WEDNESDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s

NEXT THURSDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the low to mid 60’s, highs in the mid to upper 70’s

NEXT FRIDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the upper 50’s to low 60’s, highs in the mid 70’s

NEXT SATURDAY – mostly sunny, lows from the mid 50’s to the low 60’s, highs in the mid 70’s

Saturday, August 29, 2015

Satellite View of Kilo, Ignacio, and Jimena in the Pacific

It is not often that you see something like this: three hurricanes lined up, with another to develop shortly. From left to right are Kilo, then Ignacio, then Jimena, then another one soon to follow. Yes, the Pacific Ocean is very warm this summer, unlike the Atlantic...

Click here to view the amazing visible satellite photo.

Click here to view the amazing water vapor satellite photo.

Click here to view the looping visible satellite view (java needed).

Click here to view the looping visible satellite view (flash player needed).

Click here to view the looping water vapor satellite view (java needed).

Click here to view the looping water vapor satellite view (flash player needed).

Saturday, August 29, 2015 - Evening Weather Discussion

Erika is no more... But Hawaii needs to keep its guard up in a BIG way...

As expected, Hispaniola wiped Erika apart. Erika is no more. There is however still a slight chance that Erika could gain a bit of strength when she emerges over the Gulf of Mexico, but even still, the State of Emergency was probably overkill. I would have never done that, but that was not my decision. There may still be some flooding rains in Florida however, so it is still worth keeping an eye on. Click here for information on Erika from the National Hurricane Center.

As for our area, are we getting some beautiful weather or what? It simply does not get much better than this and temperatures will continue to warm to around 90 by Tuesday, then cool back to more normal levels by the weekend, then possibly even more around the middle of the following week.

As for Hurricane Ignacio near Hawaii, it looks as if Hawaii will luck out once more as Ignacio should go north of the islands. One storm after the other had tracked toward Hawaii, but Hawaii has mostly been spared so far this summer. The Pacific has been very active this summer and Hawaii will continue to need to keep its guard up as Hurricane Jimena is next in line and is currently a category 4 storm and is forecast to reach category 5 status (the highest category possible).

Click here for more information on Hurricane Ignacio from the National Hurricane Center. Click here for more information from the National Hurricane Center on Hurricane Jimena and click here to to see information on Jimena from KITV Channel 4 in Honolulu.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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Saturday, August 29, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

Just as expected, Erika is weakening after interacting with Hispaniola. What is next for Erika? And how about Hurricane Ignacio?

As expected, Tropical Storm Erika has weakened substantially after crossing paths with Hispaniola. Now Erika will interact with Cuba. If you wanted a storm to take a path that would weaken it, this is the path that you would want. Hispaniola absolutely destroys storms due to the high mountains there, and then the storm can’t strengthen as it goes over Cuba. Erika will eventually emerge from Cuba near Key West and could strengthen a bit as she heads into the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico, but luckily she should never become anything more than a weak Tropical Storm at worst and it is possible she won’t be able to attain Tropical Storm status again. Erika should then eventually die out over Florida or the Southeastern United States, bringing them some heavy rains but not much more than that. There could however certainly be some flooding issues in Florida. The State of Emergency is probably overdone and I am surprised they went to that extent with this storm in Florida. We shall see. Click here for more information from the National Hurricane Center about Erika.

This will leave our area with some fantastic weather over the next two weeks, with temperatures gradually warming to the upper 80’s to low 90’s in most places by Tuesday before dropping back to the mid 80’s as a cold front approaches on Friday.

Temperatures may then cool back substantially after another cold front next Wednesday, possibly dropping highs back to the mid 70’s by the end of the two week period.

As far as Hawaii goes and the approach of Hurricane Ignacio, Hawaii looks to be lucky again as Ignacio has taken a turn a bit further to the north, which should keep Hawaii in a bit better place with this storm. There could still be some rain and high surf there, making the surf boarders happy, but that is about it. Click here for more information from the National Hurricane Center about Ignacio.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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Saturday, August 29, 2015 - Look at the Next 2 Weeks

TODAY – mostly sunny, highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s

TOMORROW – mostly sunny, slight chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm, lows in the low to mid 60’s, highs in the mid 80’s

MONDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the mid to upper 80’s

TUESDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs from the mid 80’s to the low 90’s

WEDNESDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the upper 80’s to low 90’s

THURSDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the upper 80’s to low 90’s

FRIDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the mid 80’s

NEXT SATURDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the mid 80’s

NEXT SUNDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the mid 80’s

LABOR DAY – mostly sunny, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the mid 80’s

NEXT TUESDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the mid 80’s

NEXT WEDNESDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s

NEXT THURSDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the mid 60’s, highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s

NEXT FRIDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the low to mid 60’s, highs in the mid 70’s

Friday, August 28, 2015

Friday, August 28, 2015 - Evening Weather Discussion

The next two weeks remain all about Erika...

Tropical Storm Erika continues on a track that will end up weakening  her substantially as she tracks over Hispaniola and Cuba, eventually ending up over the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico and Florida by Sunday afternoon or evening. She will likely then just sit there for several days, dumping heavy flooding rains over Florida.

Luckily for us, she will then likely head due east and out to sea, leaving us with only a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm on Monday, but that is about it.

Other than that, we should have an amazing next two weeks around here, with temperatures mainly in the low to mid 80's, with some upper 80's possible early next week.

Click here for more information from the National Hurricane Center about Tropical Storm Erika.

As far as Hurricane Ignacio goes and her possible affects on Hawaii, it still looks as if she will go north of the Hawaiin Islands, but it looking a bit closer than it did this morning, so Hawaii needs to keep a close eye on this storm. As it stands now, even if Ignacio goes north of Hawaii, the storm may come close enough to bring heavy rains to Hawaii once again, and possibly high surf as well. The surf boarders will be happy about that. Click here for more information from the National Hurricane Center about Hurricane Ignacio.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

Follow this blog @TheEdgeWeather on Twitter or on Facebook at TheEdgeWeather.

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