Saturday, May 23, 2015

Saturday, May 23, 2015 - Evening Weather Discussion

It will get quite warm around here, but it is starting to become clear that it will not get as hot as it looked a couple of days ago...

Temperatures will start to warm, reaching the upper 70's tomorrow and the mid 80's on Memorial Day, then the upper 80's Tuesday and Wednesday, then dropping back to the mid 80's on Thursday as a cold front approaches with some showers and thunderstorms.

Then behind the front we may very well still have some lingering showers on Friday with highs dropping back to the upper 70's.

There will still be  a chance of showers next weekend and into the following week with highs in the low to mid 80's.

We may then get some nice weather for the middle of next week, followed by more chances for showers for the end of next week. Highs should be in the low to mid 80's through the period. 

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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Saturday, May 23, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

A back door cold front may drop down from Canada again late next Thursday, much as the one did last night. This could save us from an official heat wave (three straight days with high temperatures of 90 degrees or higher)…

Today will be beautiful but much cooler behind the back door cold front that came through last evening. Highs today will be in the mid to upper 60’s.

Tomorrow will again be beautiful, but it will be warmer with highs in the upper 70’s.

Memorial Day a warm front will move through, bringing with it warmer temperatures to most areas, but there will be an ocean influence around New York City, keeping temperatures lower in New York City and the closely surrounding areas for much of the week. Highs on Memorial Day will be in the mid to upper 70’s right near New York City and in the mid 80’s everywhere else.

Tuesday and Wednesday will then be hot with highs in the upper 70’s in New York City and the closely surrounding areas and around 90, everywhere else.  There will be a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm developing.

Thursday a back door cold front may push through late in the day, this could cause some showers and thunderstorms to develop, and could push some cooler air into our area by late Thursday. Highs will be in the upper 70’s in New York City and the immediately surrounding area, and the mid to upper 80’s everywhere else, possibly dropping in the late afternoon.

Friday there will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms depending on whether the cold front stalls out in our area on Friday. The highs should be around 80, except in the mid 80’s across Central NJ.

Next Saturday should be mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 80’s.

Next Sunday should be nice, but with the same ocean influence in the New York City and immediately surrounding areas, with highs in the upper 70’s there and the mid to upper 80’s everywhere else.

Next Monday there will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms developing as a cold front approaches. Highs should be around 90.

Next Tuesday through Thursday should then be mostly sunny, but cooler behind the front, with highs in the 70’s.

Next Friday there will be increasing cloudiness with a chance of showers and thunderstorms developing at night, as a cold front approaches. Highs will be in the low 80’s.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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Saturday, May 23, 2015 - Look at the Next 2 Weeks

TODAY – mostly sunny, high in the mid to upper 60’s

TOMORROW – mostly sunny, low in the upper 40’s to low 50’s, high in the upper 70’s

MEMORIAL DAY – mostly sunny, low in the mid to upper 50’s, high in the mid to upper 70’s in New York City, extreme Southeastern NY State, and extreme Northeastern NJ, and the mid 80’s everywhere else

TUESDAY – mostly sunny, low in the mid 60’s, high in the upper 70’s in New York City, extreme Southeastern NY State, and extreme Northeastern NJ, and the upper 80’s to low 90’s everywhere else

WEDNESDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the mid 60’s, high in the upper 70’s in New York City, extreme Southeastern NY State, and extreme Northeastern NJ, and the upper 80’s to low 90’s everywhere else

THURSDAY – variably cloudy, chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening, low in the mid to upper 60’s, high in the upper 70’s in New York City, extreme Southeastern NY State, and extreme Northeastern NJ, and the mid to upper 80’s everywhere else

FRIDAY – variably cloudy, chance of showers and thunderstorms, low in the mid 60’s, high in the upper 70’s to low 80’s, except the mid 80’s across Central NJ

NEXT SATURDAY – mostly sunny, low in the mid 60’s, high in the low to mid 80’s

NEXT SUNDAY – mostly sunny, low in the mid to upper 60’s, high in the upper 70’s in New York City, extreme Southeastern NY State, and extreme Northeastern NJ, and the mid to upper 80’s everywhere else

NEXT MONDAY – chance of showers and thunderstorms developing, low in the upper 60’s, high in the upper 80’s to low 90’s

NEXT TUESDAY – mostly sunny, low in the upper 50’s to low 60’s, high in the upper 70’s

NEXT WEDNESDAY – mostly sunny, low in the mid to upper 40’s, high in the low 70’s

NEXT THURSDAY – mostly sunny, low in the low to mid 40’s, high in the mid 70’s

NEXT FRIDAY – increasing cloudiness, chance of showers and thunderstorms at night, low in the mid to upper 50’s, high in the low 80’s

Friday, May 22, 2015

Friday, May 22, 2015 - Evening Weather Discussion

This weekend will start out cool, but be assured; the HEAT is on the way next week…

Yes, nothing has changed my mind in the data this afternoon. A heat wave is looking likely next week…

This weekend will start out cool on Saturday with highs in the mid to upper 60’s, warming to the mid to upper 70’s on Sunday.

Monday a warm front will move through in the morning but it now looks as if it may be a dry front with little chance for rain with it. The highs should warm to the mid to upper 70’s in extreme Southeastern NY State and extreme Northeastern NJ and the low to mid 80’s everywhere else.

Then Tuesday through Saturday will be mostly sunny, with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm Thursday, Friday, and Saturday afternoon or evening and highs ranging from the upper 80’s to the low to mid 90’s, with some temperatures approaching 100 degrees in the warmer locations of Central NJ and Northeastern NJ.

Next Sunday a cold front is then likely to move through, likely bringing some severe thunderstorms and temperatures falling back to more normal levels next Sunday through Friday with highs mainly in the mid to upper 70’s.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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Friday, May 22, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

AN EXTENDED HEAT WAVE IS NOW LOOKING POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK!!!

So, what is the official definition of a heat wave? It is three straight days with high temperatures of 90 degrees or higher. Right now it is looking as if that is a very real possibility for next week and it is possible we could actually have 5 straight days with high temperatures over 90 degrees and temperatures could very well approach 100 degrees in some of the warmer locations in Central and Northeastern NJ next week. If you have not already done so, you should put air conditioners in place this weekend and make sure that if you have central air conditioning that it is working properly.

Today we will have a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm this afternoon or evening as a cold front drops down from Canada. It will be warmer today ahead of the cold front with highs in the upper 60’s to low 70’s.

Tomorrow and Sunday will then be beautiful but a bit chilly tomorrow with highs in the mid to upper 60’s, warming to the mid to upper 70’s on Sunday.

Memorial Day is now looking much warmer as the warm front should now move through on Memorial Day morning, allowing temperatures to warm to the mid to upper 70’s in extreme Southeastern NY and extreme Northeastern NJ, and the mid to upper 80’s everywhere else. There will however be a chance of a shower or thunderstorm with the passage of the warm front, especially in the morning.

Then, what I am seeing the potential for is something that I have truly NEVER SEEN BEFORE so early in the year. If the weather this week does not make it clear that climate change may be occurring, then nothing will. We saw amazingly cool temperatures this week with highs only in the upper 50’s the past couple of days, and now next week we may very well have an extended heat wave with the potential for 5 straight days with highs over 90 degrees throughout New Jersey, New York City, and Southeastern NY State from Tuesday through next Saturday. In fact, some of the warmer locations in Central and Northeastern NJ may approach 100 degrees. There will be variably cloudy skies with a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm each day.

A cold front may finally come through next Saturday night or Sunday morning, allowing temperatures to cool back to more normal levels next Sunday through Thursday, with highs mainly in the upper 70’s to low 80’s with a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm each day.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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Friday, May 22, 2015 - Look at the Next 2 Weeks

TODAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm this afternoon or evening, high in the upper 60’s to low 70’s

TOMORROW – mostly sunny, low in the low to mid 40’s, high in the mid to upper 60’s

SUNDAY – mostly sunny, low from the mid 40’s to low 50’s, high in the mid to upper 70’s

MEMORIAL DAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, especially in the morning, low in the upper 50’s to low 60’s, highs ranging from the mid to upper 70’s in extreme Southeastern NY and extreme Northeastern NJ, to the mid to upper 80’s everywhere else

TUESDAY – mostly sunny, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the mid to upper 60’s, high in the mid to upper 80’s in Northeastern PA and the low to mid 90’s everywhere else

WEDNESDAY – mostly sunny, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the mid to upper 60’s, high in the high in the mid to upper 80’s in Northeastern PA and the low to mid 90’s everywhere else

THURSDAY – mostly sunny, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the upper 60’s to low 70’s, high in the high in the mid to upper 80’s in Northeastern PA and the low to mid 90’s everywhere else

NEXT FRIDAY – mostly sunny, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the low to mid 70’s, high in the high in the mid to upper 80’s in Northeastern PA and the low to mid 90’s everywhere else

NEXT SATURDAY – mostly sunny, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the upper 60’s to low 70’s, high in the high in the mid to upper 80’s in Northeastern PA and the low to mid 90’s everywhere else

NEXT SUNDAY – mostly sunny, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the low to mid 70’s, high in the low to mid 70’s in Northeastern PA and the upper 70’s to low 80’s everywhere else

NEXT MONDAY – mostly sunny, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the low 50’s, high in the low to mid 70’s

NEXT TUESDAY – mostly sunny, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the mid 40’s, high in the upper 70’s

NEXT WEDNESDAY – mostly sunny, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the mid 50’s, high in the low 80’s

NEXT THURSDAY – mostly sunny, slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the upper 50’s, high in the mid 80’s

Thursday, May 21, 2015

Thursday, May 21, 2015 - Evening Weather Discussion

So, when does the heat take over?

The high only made it to 59 degrees at my location today. When will it warm up?

We will have a chance of a shower tonight and again tomorrow afternoon and evening. It will be warmer tomorrow with highs in the upper 60’s to low 70’s.

Saturday and Sunday should then be beautiful with highs in the mid to upper 60’s Saturday, warming to the mid to upper 70’s on Sunday.

Memorial Day showers and thunderstorms will be likely with highs in the mid to upper 60’s across Southeastern NY, Northeastern PA, and Northern NJ, and the low to mid 70’s across Central NJ.

Tuesday through the following Wednesday will then be variably cloudy and HOT. There will be  a chance of a shower or thunderstorm each day and highs ranging from the mid 80’s to the low 90’s through the period.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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Thursday, May 21, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

Some crazy temperature extremes on the way, and hopefully some relief from the dry weather too…

It will be amazingly cool again today with highs ranging from only the mid 50’s in Central NJ to the low 60’s in Southeastern NY State as a storm system passes to our south.

Tomorrow a cold front will approach in the evening, bringing a chance of a shower or thunderstorm and highs ranging from the low to mid 60’s in Northeastern PA to the low to mid 70’s in Northeastern and Central NJ.

This weekend should then be beautiful with highs warming from the mid to upper 60’s on Saturday to the mid to upper 70’s on Sunday.

Unfortunately, on Memorial Day we will have increasing cloudiness with an increasing chance for showers and thunderstorms as the day progresses. Highs will be in the low to mid 70’s.

Then, for pretty much the remainder of the two week period we will have at least a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm each day and it will be mainly HOT, except possibly next Sunday. Highs should be mostly in the mid to upper 80’s, with the likelihood of some temperatures reaching the low to mid 90’s from time to time. In fact, I would not be surprised if some areas of Central or Northeastern NJ reach the upper 90’s on Wednesday, so be prepared and make sure air conditioners are in place and working by the end of the holiday weekend.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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