Friday, July 3, 2015

Friday, July 3, 2015 - Evening Weather Discussion

We might have a decent Independence Day After all... Just keep your fingers crossed...

The data from the various computer models has been producing some very varied results here the past 24 hours. It went from looking as if we would have a nice day for Independence Day, then last night and this morning it looked pretty much guaranteed that we would have a wash out for Independence Day.  Now, this evening it looks like about a 40% of a shower or thunderstorm tomorrow, with the highest chances across Central NJ and near the Delaware River in Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, and in Southeastern NY State. And, if we are really lucky even this chance will move out before the fireworks start tomorrow night. The highs will be in the low to mid 70’s tomorrow, except only the mid to upper 60’s in Northeastern PA.

We will then have nice days on Sunday and Monday before another chance of showers and thunderstorms returns for Tuesday through Thursday, but especially on Wednesday and Thursday. Highs will be in the low to mid 80’s Sunday through Wednesday, dropping to the low to mid 70’s next Thursday.

Next Friday through Monday should then be quite nice before the next chance of showers and thunderstorms returns for next Tuesday through Thursday. Highs will range generally from the upper 70’s to the mid 80’s through the period.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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Quick Afternoon Update

Things look drastically improved with the afternoon data today for tomorrow. Let's hope. The models keep going back and forth. More in a bit...

Friday, July 3, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

Sorry, Independence Day is going to be a wash-out…

We will have a beautiful day today but Independence Day is then going to be a wash-out as a low pressure area will form along a stalled-out cold front to our south. This will bring us showers and thunderstorms tomorrow. Highs will be around 80 today and only the mid 60’s to the low 70’s tomorrow.

The only thing we can hope for is that the showers and thunderstorms end in time for the fireworks, which is a possibility, let’s hope. Any outdoor activities look to be in trouble tomorrow though.

Sunday will then be beautiful, followed by increasing cloudiness and a chance of showers and thunderstorms at night. The highs will range from the mid 70’s to the low 80’s.

Tuesday through Friday will then be variably cloudy with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm each day. Highs will be around 80.

Next Saturday should then be nice with highs in the low 80’s.

Next Sunday through Tuesday we will again have a chance of a shower or thunderstorm, especially on Monday.  Highs will be in the low to mid 80’s.

Next Wednesday and Thursday will then be mostly sunny with highs in the mid 80’s.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

Follow this blog @TheEdgeWeather on Twitter or on Facebook at TheEdgeWeather. 

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Friday, July 3, 2015 - Look at the Next 2 Weeks

TODAY – mostly sunny, high in the mid to upper 70’s and the low 80’s across Central NJ

INDEPENDENCE DAY – showers and thunderstorms, possibly heavy at times, tapering off at night, low in the mid 60’s, high in the mid 60’s in Northeastern PA, extreme Northwestern NJ, and Southeastern NY State, and the upper 60’s to low 70’s in East Central PA, Northwestern NJ (excluding the extreme Northwestern sections), Central and Northeastern NJ, and NYC

SUNDAY – mostly sunny, low in the mid to upper 50’s in Northeastern and East Central PA, Northwestern NJ, and Southeastern NY, except near the Hudson River, the low 60’s in Northeastern NJ and Southeastern NY State near the Hudson River, and the low to mid 60’s in Central NJ and NYC, highs in the mid to upper 70’s in Northeastern PA and the upper 70’s to low 80’s everywhere else

MONDAY – increasing cloudiness, chance of showers and thunderstorms at night, low in the low to mid 60’s, high in the upper 70’s to low 80’s

TUESDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the low to mid 60’s, high in the upper 70’s to low 80’s

WEDNESDAY – increasing cloudiness, showers and thunderstorms developing, low in the mid to upper 60’s, high in the low to mid 80’s

THURSDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the mid to upper 60’s, high in the upper 70’s to low 80’s

NEXT FRIDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the mid to upper 60’s, high in the upper 70’s to low 80’s

NEXT SATURDAY – mostly sunny, low in the mid to upper 60’s, high in the low 80’s

NEXT SUNDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the mid to upper 60’s, high in the low to mid 80’s

NEXT MONDAY – chance of showers and thunderstorms, low in the upper 60’s to low 70’s, high in the mid 80’s

NEXT TUESDAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower or thunderstorm, low in the upper 60’s to low 70’s, high in the mid 80’s

NEXT WEDNESDAY – mostly sunny, low in the upper 60’s to low 70’s, high in the mid 80’s

NEXT THURSDAY – mostly sunny, low in the upper 60’s to low 70’s, high in the mid 80’s

Independence Day Wash-Out

Sorry, Independence Day is going to be ugly...

More in a bit...

Thursday, July 2, 2015

Thursday, July 2, 2015 - Evening Weather Discussion

First of all, I am truly sorry for the changes to the forecast for all of you who were hoping for nice weather on Independence Day. It had looked good for the past few days, but the data that came in just now has taken a turn for the worse in a big way...

First the good news...

Tomorrow will be beautiful....

Then unfortunately, the front that is pushing through our area right now will stall out to our south tomorrow and then on Independence Day morning a low pressure area will form along this front. This low pressure area will strengthen and bring us showers and thunderstorms for Independence Day morning into the afternoon, possibly heavy at times. Although this may wash out your plans for Interdependence Day afternoon, things may very well clear out in time for the fireworks at night. However, this is a big bummer for all of you who had plans for parties in the afternoon. The time period from the morning through the mid afternoon is now looking like a wash-out.

If you have not already made plans and you live in Northwestern NJ, the fireworks and Independence Day celebration are pretty amazing at Allamuchy Township's Rutherford Hall. Click here to view the website for the festivities. 

Sunday should then be nice, followed by more developing low pressure areas that will bring us showers and thunderstorms Monday afternoon through Friday.

Next Saturday should then be nice before more showers and thunderstorms move in next Sunday.

Next Monday and Tuesday then look nice before more showers and thunderstorms return next Wednesday.

Highs temperatures should range from the mid 70's to the mid 80's through the period.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

Follow this blog @TheEdgeWeather on Twitter or on Facebook at TheEdgeWeather. 

Also, you can access this blog at the following web addresses:  edgeweather.com, theedgeweather.com, edgeweather.net, theedgeweather.net, edgeweather.us, theedgeweather.us, edgeweather.org and theedgeweather.org

Independence Day Just Went Down the Tubes

Sorry, the forecast for Independence Day just took a turn for the worse. More in a bit...

Thursday, July 2, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

The active weather pattern will continue through the next two weeks and as far as Independence Day goes, well…

The active weather pattern will continue with just a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm today, followed by a very nice day tomorrow.

This weekend should be nice for the holiday weekend with about a 35% chance of a shower or thunderstorm for Independence Day and around a 20% chance of a shower or thunderstorm on Sunday.

If you have not already made plans and you live in Northwestern NJ, the fireworks and Independence Day celebration are pretty amazing at Allamuchy Township's Rutherford Hall. Click here to view the website for the festivities. 

Then Monday looks good before we have a chance of more showers and thunderstorms each day after that for the following week.

Things may then clear out for the middle of the following week.

Highs will range from the mid 70’s to the mid 80’s throughout the period.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

Follow this blog @TheEdgeWeather on Twitter or on Facebook at TheEdgeWeather. 

Also, you can access this blog at the following web addresses:  edgeweather.com, theedgeweather.com, edgeweather.net, theedgeweather.net, edgeweather.us, theedgeweather.us, edgeweather.org and theedgeweather.org