Friday, May 27, 2016

Our Storm for Memorial Day Was Just Upgraded to a Tropical Depression and Could Turn Into a Tropical Storm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022016
800 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

...DEPRESSION MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.8N 75.1W
ABOUT 400 MI...645 KM SE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM ESE OF HILTON HEAD ISLAND SOUTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Savannah River to Little River Inlet South Carolina

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was
located near latitude 28.8 North, longitude 75.1 West. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20
km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next
24 hours.  A reduction in forward speed is expected by Saturday
night as the system nears the coast.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later tonight or
on Saturday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area by Saturday night, making outside
preparations difficult.

RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 2 to 4 inches from the upper coast of Georgia
through eastern South Carolina and into southeastern North Carolina.

STORM SURGE: Storm surge inundation of 1 to 2 feet above ground
level is expected within the tropical storm warning area.

SURF: This system is expected to produce life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions along portions of the southeastern United
States coast through the weekend. Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Brennan

Friday, May 27, 2016 - Evening Weather Discussion

HOT this weekend - flooding possible Memorial Day...

If you have not already done so, download the Edgeweather App from Google Play Store and the Apple App Store! Push notifications are enabled! And for those of you who have the app, yes, that satellite picture is Superstorm Sandy before she made her turn and hit NYC.

It will be HOT tomorrow and Sunday with highs mainly in the upper 80's to low 90's, with some mid 90's likely in parts of Central and especially Northeastern NJ.  It will be cooler along the coast and on Long Island.

There will be some scattered thunderstorms around this evening and again tomorrow evening and then a bit better chance Sunday afternoon and evening.

Then for Memorial Day, well, an approaching weak frontal system will combine with a coastal low pressure along the Southeastern United States Coast to bring us rain for Memorial Day, and it could be heavy at times from the late morning through the afternoon, ending at night. The heavy rainfall could cause flash flooding throughout the Allentown and New York City Metropolitan areas on Memorial day as rainfall amounts could be as high as 2-5 inches in parts of our area. 

Unfortunately, this means a washout of a Memorial Day for most of us. It will also be cool with highs mainly in the upper 60's to low 70's. Sorry...

It should then be nice Tuesday through Thursday with highs in the 80's Tuesday and Wednesday, dropping back to the 70's to low 80's Thursday.

Then next Friday and Saturday we will have a chance of showers and thunderstorms as a strong cold front approaches.  Highs should again be in the 70's to low 80's.

Next Sunday and Monday should then be nice, but cooler with highs only in the upper 60's to low 70's.

Next Tuesday through Thursday will then likely be variably cloudy with a chance of showers as a slow moving cold front approaches our area. Highs will slowly rise from the upper 60's to low 70's to the mid to upper 70's by next Thursday.

Sorry for the wet forecast for Memorial Day...

Stay cool and have a fantastic evening!

“Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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Follow this blog @TheEdgeWeather on Twitter or on Facebook at TheEdgeWeather.

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Friday, May 27, 2016 - Morning Weather Discussion

Hot through Sunday, and then for Memorial Day…

HAPPY FRIDAY!!!

If you have not already done so, download the Edgeweather App from Google Play Store and the Apple App Store!  Push notifications are enabled!  And for those of you who have the app, yes, that satellite picture is Superstorm Sandy before she made her turn and hit NYC.

A few showers moved through our area this morning but they will clear out and the rest of the day should be pretty nice, with just a chance of a late afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm. Highs will be mainly in the mid to upper 80’s, with some low 90’s possible. It will however be cooler near the coast and on Long Island.

Tomorrow will be mostly sunny with just a slight chance of a late afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm. Highs should be mainly in the upper 80’s to low 90’s, with some mid 90’s possible. Temperatures will however be cooler along the coast and on Long Island.

Sunday will be variably cloudy with a chance of afternoon and evening showers or thunderstorms. Highs will again be mainly in the upper 80’s to low 90’s, with some mid 90’s possible. Temperatures will however be cooler along the coast and on Long Island.

Unfortunately, Memorial Day a storm system will form along the coast at the same time that a weak frontal system approaches from the west. This will bring us some rain that could be heavy at times in the morning, and could continue into the afternoon and possibly the evening in some areas. There may be some clearing late in the day. Highs should be mainly in the low to mid 70’s, but cooler again on Long Island.

Tuesday will be mostly sunny and hot again with highs mainly in the mid to upper 80’s with some low 90’s possible. It will again be cooler along the coast and on Long Island.

Wednesday should continue to be nice, but possibly a bit cooler with highs in the low to mid 80’s.

Thursday we will have increasing cloudiness with a chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms as a cold front approaches from the west. Highs will be in the low to mid 80’s.

Next Friday we will have a chance of showers and thunderstorms as a strong cold front moves through our area. Highs will be in the mid to upper 70’s.

Next Saturday through Monday should then be nice but cooler with highs in the low to mid 70’s.

Next Tuesday through Thursday will be variably cloudy with a chance of showers or thunderstorms each day as a cold front slowly approaches from the west. Highs will rise from the mid 70’s next Tuesday to the mid to upper 70’s next Wednesday and then the upper 70’s to low 80’s next Thursday.

Stay cool and have a fantastic day!

“Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

Now Available in Google Play Store and in the Apple App Store!  Push notifications enabled!

Follow this blog @TheEdgeWeather on Twitter or on Facebook at TheEdgeWeather.

Also, you can access this blog at the following web addresses:  edgeweather.com, theedgeweather.com, edgeweather.net, theedgeweather.net, edgeweather.us, theedgeweather.us, edgeweather.org and theedgeweather.org

Friday, May 27, 2016 - Look at the Next 2 Weeks

TODAY – variably cloudy, chance of a shower early this morning and again in the late afternoon and evening, highs in the upper 60’s to low 70’s along the coast, the low to mid 70’s on Eastern Long Island, the mid to upper 70’s on Western Long Island, the low to mid 80’s in NYC, Northeastern PA and Stamford County, CT, the mid 80’s in Rockland and Westchester Counties, NY, and the mid to upper 80’s with some low 90’s in East Central PA, Central and Northern NJ, and Orange County, NY

TOMORROW – mostly sunny, slight chance of a late afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the upper 60’s to low 70’s along the coast, the low to mid 70’s on Easter Long Island, the mid 70’s on Western Long Island, the mid 80’s in NYC, the mid to upper 80’s in Northeastern PA, Stamford County, Ct, and Rockland and Westchester Counties in NY, and the upper 80’s to low 90’s, with some mid 90’s possible in East Central PA, Central and Northern NJ, and Orange County, NY

SUNDAY – variably cloudy, chance of afternoon and evening showers or thunderstorms, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, highs in the upper 60’s to low 70’s along the coast, the mid 70’s on Eastern Long Island, the mid to upper 70’s on Western Long Island, the mid to upper 80’s in NYC, Northeastern PA, Rockland and Westchester Counties in NY State, and Stamford County, CT, and the upper 80’s to low 90’s with some mid 90’s possible in East Central PA, Central and Northern NJ, and Orange County, NY

MEMORIAL DAY – rain likely, possibly heavy at times in the morning, some clearing possible late in the day, lows in the low to mid 60’s, highs in the mid to upper 60’s on Long Island, the upper 60’s to low 70’s in Stamford County, CT and Westchester County, NY, and the low to mid 70’s in East Central and Northeastern PA, Central and Northern NJ, NYC, and Rockland and Orange Counties in NY

TUESDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the low to mid 60’s, highs in the low to mid 70’s along the coast and on Eastern Long Island, the mid to upper 70’s on Western Long Island, the low to mid 80’s in Northeastern PA, the mid 80’s in NYC, Stamford County, CT, and Rockland and Westchester Counties in NY, and the mid to upper 80’s with some low 90’s possible in East Central PA, Central and Northern NJ, and Orange County in NY

WEDNESDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the upper 50’s to low 60’s, highs in the low to mid 80’s

THURSDAY – increasing cloudiness, chance of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms, lows in the upper 50’s to low 60’s, highs in the low to mid 80’s

NEXT FRIDAY – chance of showers and thunderstorms, lows in the upper 50’s to low 60’s, highs in the mid to upper 70’s

NEXT SATURDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the mid to upper 50’s, highs in the low to mid 70’s

NEXT SUNDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the low to mid 50’s, highs in the low to mid 70’s

NEXT MONDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the low to mid 50’s, highs in the low to mid 70’s

NEXT TUESDAY – variably cloudy, chance of showers or thunderstorms, lows in the low to mid 50’s, highs in the mid 70’s

NEXT WEDNESDAY – variably cloudy, chance of showers or thunderstorms, lows in the mid to upper 50’s, highs in the mid to upper 70’s

NEXT THURSDAY – variably cloudy, chance of showers or thunderstorms, lows in the mid to upper 50’s, highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s

Thursday, May 26, 2016

Thursday, May 26, 2016 - Evening Weather Discussion

Hot through Sunday, and then for Memorial Day, well...

If you have not already done so, download the Edgeweather App from Google Play Store and the Apple App Store!  Push notifications are enabled!  And for those of you who have the app, yes, that satellite picture is Superstorm Sandy before she made her turn and hit NYC.

It will be hot through Sunday with highs continuing in the mid 80's to low 90's, with some mid 90's possible Sunday, especially in Northeastern NJ. There will be a chance of an afternoon or evening thunderstorm each day.

Then, unfortunately, Memorial Day is really not looking good. We will have a good chance of rain for Memorial Day as a storm system will develop along the coast at the same time that a weak front approaches our area from the west. This will likely bring us some heavy rain on Monday morning that could continue into the afternoon. With the heavy rain, highs will only be in the low to mid 60's along the coast and the upper 60's to low 70's inland.

Then it will warm back up for Tuesday with highs in the mid to upper 80's, before cooling back down to the 70's to low 80's through the end of next week and into the following week. We will have a chance of showers and thunderstorms next Thursday as a cold front approaches from the west, clearing us out for next weekend, but things may then get unsettled heading into the beginning to middle of the following week.

Stay cool and have a wonderful evening!

“Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

Now Available in Google Play Store and in the Apple App Store!  Push notifications enabled!

Follow this blog @TheEdgeWeather on Twitter or on Facebook at TheEdgeWeather.

Also, you can access this blog at the following web addresses:  edgeweather.com, theedgeweather.com, edgeweather.net, theedgeweather.net, edgeweather.us, theedgeweather.us, edgeweather.org and theedgeweather.org


Thursday, May 26, 2016 - Morning Weather Discussion

The heat will continue through Sunday and then for Memorial Day…

If you have not already done so, download the Edgeweather App from Google Play Store and the Apple App Store!  Push notifications are enabled!  And for those of you who have the app, yes, that satellite picture is Superstorm Sandy before she made her turn and hit NYC.

The heat will continue through Sunday with highs ranging from mainly the mid 80’s to the low 90’s, with some mid 90’s possible in Northeastern NJ today, Saturday and Sunday. Temperatures will be cooler along the coast, with highs there mainly around 70. There will be a chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm tomorrow and a slight chance Saturday and Sunday.

Unfortunately, for Memorial Day it is looking as if showers and thunderstorms will be likely, especially in the morning when they could be heavy at times as a coastal disturbance and weak cold front approach. It does however appear as if it may clear out a bit for the afternoon and evening, maybe, so you might be able to get those barbecues done. Highs will range from the mid to upper 60’s along the coast and on Eastern Long Island to the low to mid 80’s in East Central PA and Central and Northern NJ.

Tuesday and Wednesday should then be nice with highs in the low to mid 80’s.

Next Thursday and Friday look to be variably cloudy with a chance for showers and thunderstorms as a cold front approaches. Highs will be around 80.

Next weekend then looks nice and much cooler with highs in the low to mid 70’s.

Next Monday through Wednesday we will then have variably cloudy skies with a chance for showers and thunderstorms and highs in the low to mid 70’s.

Stay cool and have a fantastic day!

“Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

Now Available in Google Play Store and in the Apple App Store!  Push notifications enabled!

Follow this blog @TheEdgeWeather on Twitter or on Facebook at TheEdgeWeather.

Also, you can access this blog at the following web addresses:  edgeweather.com, theedgeweather.com, edgeweather.net, theedgeweather.net, edgeweather.us, theedgeweather.us, edgeweather.org and theedgeweather.org

Thursday, May 26, 2016 - Look at the Next 2 Weeks

TODAY – mostly sunny, highs in the low to mid 70’s along the coast, the low to mid 80’s in Northeastern PA, the mid to upper 80’s with some low 90’s possible in East Central PA, Northwestern NJ, Southeastern NY State, NYC, and Stamford County, CT, and the upper 80’s to low 90’s, with some mid 90’s possible in Central and especially Northeastern, NJ

TOMORROW – variably cloudy, chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm, lows in the upper 50’s to low 60’s along the coast and the mid 60’s inland, HIGHS in the upper 60’s to low 70’s along the coast, the low to mid 70’s on Long Island, the low to mid 80’s in Northeastern PA, and NYC, the mid 80’s in Stamford County, CT, and Rockland and Westchester Counties in NY, and the mid to upper 80’s with some low 90’s possible in East Central PA, Central and Northern NJ, and Orange County, NY

SATURDAY –  variably cloudy, slight chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm, lows in the low to mid 60’s along the coast and the mid to upper 60’s inland, HIGHS in the upper 60’s to low 70’s along the coast, the low to mid 70’s on Long Island, the mid to upper 80’s in Northeastern PA, Rockland and Westchester Counties in NY, NYC, and Stamford County, CT, and the upper 80’s to low 90’s, in East Central PA, Central and Northern NJ, and Orange County, NY, with some mid 90’s possible in Northeastern NJ

SUNDAY – variably cloudy, slight chance of an afternoon or evening shower or thunderstorm, lows in the mid to upper 60’s, HIGHS in the low to mid 70’s along the coast, the mid to upper 70’s on Long Island, the mid to upper 80’s in Northeastern PA and NYC, and the upper 80’s to low 90’s in East Central PA, Central and Northern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and Stamford County, CT, with some mid 90’s possible in Northeastern NJ

MEMORIAL DAY – chance of showers or thunderstorms in the morning, possibly heavy at times, then a chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening, lows in the upper 50’s to low 60’s along the coast and on Long Island, and the mid to upper 60’s inland, HIGHS in the mid to upper 60’s along the coast and on Eastern Long Island, the low to mid 70’s on Western Long Island and in Stamford County, CT, the mid to upper 70’s in Rockland and Westchester Counties in NY, the upper 70’s to low 80’s in NYC, and the low to mid 80’s in East Central PA and Central and Northern NJ

TUESDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the low to mid 60’s, highs in the low to mid 80’s

WEDNESDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the upper 50’s to low 60’s, highs in the low to mid 80’s

NEXT THURSDAY – variably cloudy, chance of showers and thunderstorms, lows in the upper 50’s to low 60’s, highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s

NEXT FRIDAY – variably cloudy, chance of showers and thunderstorms, lows in the upper 50’s to low 60’s, highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s

NEXT SATURDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the upper 50’s to low 60’s, highs in the low to mid 70’s

NEXT SUNDAY – mostly sunny, lows in the mid 50’s, highs in the low to mid 70’s

NEXT MONDAY – variably cloudy, chance of late day showers or thunderstorms, lows in the mid 50’s, highs in the low to mid 70’s

NEXT TUESDAY – variably cloudy, chance of showers or thunderstorms, lows in the mid 50’s, highs in the low to mid 70’s

NEXT WEDNESDAY – chance of showers and thunderstorms, lows in the mid to upper 50’s, highs in the low to mid 70’s

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Wednesday, May 25, 2016 - Evening Weather Discussion

Heat and Humidity through Sunday, and then for Memorial Day, well...

If you have not already done so, download the Edgeweather App from Google Play Store and the Apple App Store!  Push notifications are enabled!

The heat began today with a high of 87 degrees at my location in Allamuchy, Warren County, NJ, and many locations reported 90 degrees in Central and Northern NJ.

The heat will continue through Sunday with highs tomorrow and Friday nearly identical to today and possibly a degree or so warmer Friday. There will be a very slight chance of a late afternoon thunderstorm tomorrow and a slight chance Friday.

Then Saturday and Sunday the heat will blast the Allentown and New York City Metropolitan areas with highs in most places in the upper 80's to low 90's, with some mid 90's likely in parts of Central and especially Northeastern NJ. There will be a slight chance of an evening thunderstorm Saturday and a greater chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms Sunday.

Then unfortunately things go downhill for Memorial day with a chance for showers and thunderstorms as a weak cold front approaching from the west combines with a weak coastal storm to our south. This will also drop temperatures to the 70's in most locations for Memorial Day, and unfortunately to the upper 60's along the coast.

Then things will then clear out and warm up for Tuesday and next Wednesday with highs again in the 80's.

Next Thursday and Friday we will then have a chance for showers and thunderstorms as a strong cold front approaches from the west. Highs will be in the 70's.

Things may then remain unstable for next weekend and into the start of the following week as the cold front stalls out along the coast, bringing us a chance for showers and thunderstorms and temperatures mainly in the 70's.

Stay cool and have a wonderful evening!

“Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

Now Available in Google Play Store and in the Apple App Store!  Push notifications enabled!

Follow this blog @TheEdgeWeather on Twitter or on Facebook at TheEdgeWeather.

Also, you can access this blog at the following web addresses:  edgeweather.com, theedgeweather.com, edgeweather.net, theedgeweather.net, edgeweather.us, theedgeweather.us, edgeweather.org and theedgeweather.org