Monday, November 11th, 2013 - Evening Weather Discussion

Everything remains on track for a little snow tomorrow morning throughout Northern New Jersey with a dusting to an inch of accumulation possible in some locations, especially in the higher elevations.  Some roads may become slick during the morning rush hour as temperatures will get below freezing in many locations, especially during the heavier bursts of snow.  The snow should start around 1 am and end around 8-9 am. Things will clear out and cool down after the front passes with highs tomorrow and Wednesday only in the mid to upper 30's and lows reaching the low to mid 20's on Wednesday morning and the mid to upper 20's on Thursday morning.  Temperatures will warm to the low to mid 50's this weekend.  There will be a slight chance of a shower on Saturday, then showers will be likely next Monday and Tuesday, with heavy showers possible next Wednesday as the front passes through.  Temperatures may remain cold after that front passes, possibly through Thanksgiving.  If that ends up being accurate then we would need to watch for the possibility of more chances for snow just prior to Thanksgiving.  It is really too early to say for sure though.  Looking back at what happened with the models predicting this major Nor'easter this week that won't happen, I am now fairly certain in hindsight that what happened was that the models were confused by the incredible Typhoon that hit the Philippines   This typhoon may have been the most intense storm in history anywhere on the planet. Remember how Sandy last year was the strongest storm to hit New Jersey in recorded history?  This typhoon makes Sandy look insignificant in terms of intensity.  It surely can explain how my favorite model may have messed up. The models are global models, meaning they must get everything right across the entire planet in order to get the forecast right in our backyards.  Click here to read about this typhoon, one of the strongest, and quite possibly THE strongest to hit our planet in recorded history.