Wednesday, November 27th, 2013 - Evening Weather Discussion

Well, the storm turned out pretty much as I expected with the exception of Northwest New Jersey getting a bit less rain than expected.  Other than that, the storm did start briefly as snow and changed to freezing rain in many locations, and then we had flooding rains, followed by a light dusting of snow in some spots here at the end.  The storm should be winding up here shortly and it is still snowing at my location in Northwest New Jersey with a dusting of snow on the ground.  This morning’s commute was indeed quite interesting with flooded out roads and accidents.  My GPS sent me on the scenic route this morning as Rt. 287 was a bottleneck due to the flooded road conditions.  Moving forward, it will now be very cold through Saturday with a chance of a Lake Effect snow shower or flurry tomorrow and on Friday.  Then late on Saturday night we will have to watch for the possibility of some light snow throughout our area as warm air starts to filter back into our area and we get a moist flow off the ocean.  In a way, it will be ocean effect snow as moisture streams in off the ocean right in our direction.  There won’t be much snow at all though if there is any.  We would be looking at a dusting to an inch at most late on Saturday night into Sunday morning.  Then a Nor'easter is now looking more likely to form on Tuesday.  I am now upgrading the chances of a significant Nor'easter forming to about 66%.  At the moment it does not look like it will be a major storm if there is one, but that is still a possibility as well.  Also, as always, it appears we will be on the dividing line between rain and snow.  It seems as if we always are on that dividing line here in Northern New Jersey, and right now this potential storm looks no different.  Later in the week we will likely get another storm approaching us from the west with some rain for Thursday night and Friday, although the rain could start as freezing rain in some locations on Thursday night.  Then as we move into the following week, there will be a chance of some more precipitation for Sunday, and then there remains a chance of another Nor'easter developing around Tuesday, December 10^th.   Check back for updates on this upcoming Tuesday Nor'easter potential and tell all your family and friends about the blog.   Have a wonderful evening.