European Model Ensemble Mean

It says don't give if up on the Tuesday storm yet.  It definitely shows the possibility of this storm coming closer to the coast than the operational run of the model that showed it being well out to sea on this run.  It also shows the possibility of this either developing a day or so later, or possibly lingering into Thursday.  My guess is that this run of the European model was wrong, but that is just a guess.  Let's see what the 51 individual members show tonight and let's see what the American model does later.  Check back this  evening.  Sometimes the European model has a bad run, in fact it often does have at least one bad run with every storm.  Unfortunately, the model only runs every 12 hours, so it is a long wait to know for sure.