Saturday, January 11th, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

We will have rain heavy at times today that will likely cause some flooding as temperatures will also rise to the mid 50’s, causing snow to melt to our north and in the rivers as well.  If you know someone who lives or works near a river or stream, please be on the lookout for ice jams in the rivers that could lead to localized severe flooding with little warning.  After this storm passes we will have more rain on Tuesday, although it no longer looks to be flooding rain situation.  Then on Wednesday there will be a chance for snow as a storm system will drop down from Canada at the same time that the cold air works into our area.  At this time there is significant model disagreement as to how much this storm will intensify, so it is difficult to say whether we will just see snow showers or something much more significant on Wednesday.  After this storm passes there appear to be a series of weak low pressure areas that will pass by, bringing a chance of snow showers nearly every day from Friday through next Monday.  Any one of these disturbances would have the potential to intensify into something more significant but it is a bit too early to tell which one, if any of them, will be the one.  Right now my best guess would be the one next Monday, but we will have to wait and see.  Then another storm is likely to approach for next Wednesday, bringing another chance for rain or snow.  This is a very active weather pattern and it looks to hold a bit more chance for snow as we head through the next 2 weeks, so be sure to check back for updates.