Saturday, August 29, 2015

Saturday, August 29, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

Just as expected, Erika is weakening after interacting with Hispaniola. What is next for Erika? And how about Hurricane Ignacio?

As expected, Tropical Storm Erika has weakened substantially after crossing paths with Hispaniola. Now Erika will interact with Cuba. If you wanted a storm to take a path that would weaken it, this is the path that you would want. Hispaniola absolutely destroys storms due to the high mountains there, and then the storm can’t strengthen as it goes over Cuba. Erika will eventually emerge from Cuba near Key West and could strengthen a bit as she heads into the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico, but luckily she should never become anything more than a weak Tropical Storm at worst and it is possible she won’t be able to attain Tropical Storm status again. Erika should then eventually die out over Florida or the Southeastern United States, bringing them some heavy rains but not much more than that. There could however certainly be some flooding issues in Florida. The State of Emergency is probably overdone and I am surprised they went to that extent with this storm in Florida. We shall see. Click here for more information from the National Hurricane Center about Erika.

This will leave our area with some fantastic weather over the next two weeks, with temperatures gradually warming to the upper 80’s to low 90’s in most places by Tuesday before dropping back to the mid 80’s as a cold front approaches on Friday.

Temperatures may then cool back substantially after another cold front next Wednesday, possibly dropping highs back to the mid 70’s by the end of the two week period.

As far as Hawaii goes and the approach of Hurricane Ignacio, Hawaii looks to be lucky again as Ignacio has taken a turn a bit further to the north, which should keep Hawaii in a bit better place with this storm. There could still be some rain and high surf there, making the surf boarders happy, but that is about it. Click here for more information from the National Hurricane Center about Ignacio.

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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