Sunday, August 30, 2015

Sunday, August 30, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

Erika is no more. State of Emergency in Florida? And the Pacific is boiling with storms, including a category 4 Hurricane. Kilo, Ignacio, Jimena, and quite possibly another just behind those…

As I had been saying for days, Hispaniola can kill Tropical Storms as the tall mountains there do severe damage to the circulation of the systems. In addition, the Atlantic is simply not favorable for development this year and even if and when the storms do develop, they will often break apart before they ever reach our area. This is because the cold fronts have been pushing through our area on a regular basis. There was however a bit of relaxation in the pattern for the past two weeks, which did allow Erika to strengthen and head in our direction, but Hispaniola did her in. I was quite surprised that the Governor of Florida declared a State of Emergency the other day.

As for what this means for us, it means we will have a pretty darn nice next two weeks, and it will be quite warm as well, with temperatures warming to around 90 in many places Tuesday through Friday. However, it does look as if the remnants of Erika may come close enough to our area the middle to end of this week to bring us a chance of a shower or thunderstorm and highs in the mid 80’s each day from Wednesday through Labor Day as her remnants may remain off the Middle Atlantic Coast. A strong cold front will then move through next Tuesday, drying us out and cooling us down for next Wednesday through Saturday with highs dropping from around 80 to the mid 70’s by next Saturday.

As for the Pacific Ocean, things are quite different there as the water temperatures are warmer than normal this summer, allowing one storm after the other to develop. Hawaii has actually been very lucky with the storms so far moving just north and south of the islands, although Kilo did bring Hawaii some significant flooding. Next up is Hurricane Ignacio which will approach Hawaii on Tuesday. Ignacio may come close enough to bring Hawaii some heavy rain and a bit of wind, but it looks as if Ignacio will go just far enough north of the islands to spare them the worst. Click here for more information on Hurricane Ignacio from the National Hurricane Center.

Then, next up is Hurricane Jimena which is currently a category 4 storm and may very well become a category 5 storm (the strongest possible). Luckily it currently looks as if Jimena will also turn north of Hawaii, however, this storm is still a long way away and Hawaii will need to keep a close eye on this storm. Click here for more information on Jimena from the National Hurricane Center and click here to view an incredible satellite image of Hurricanes Kilo, Ignacio, Jimena, and quite possibly another one just behind Jimena. Unreal…

"Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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