Friday, February 5, 2016

Friday, February 5, 2016 - Evening Weather Discussion

A foot of snow today on Long Island. Incredible. A monster storm will be off the coast on Monday and another storm on Tuesday...

There was incredibly a foot of snow today on Long Island and many 6 inch totals in Central New Jersey. The majority of the storm today worked out how I expected, but the western edge was a bit less than I thought. It is the edges of these storms that are so hard to predict.

Click here to view the snowfall totals for Southeastern NY, Northeastern NJ, NYC, and Long Island.

Click here to view the snowfall totals for the rest of NJ and Eastern PA.

Anyway, moving forward, a MONSTER Nor'easter will form off the South Carolina Coast on Sunday and will likely bring areas of Coastal South Carolina up to 6 inches of snow, which is incredible. This storm will then turn northeastward and should stay far enough off shore to keep the rest of us safe, with the possible exclusion of Southeastern New England and possibly the eastern end of Long Island. However, I have seen some signs in some data this evening that this storm could possibly move much further west and come right up the coast. A track right up the coast is quite unlikely at the moment, but remains a possibility, especially with some data that came through a few hours ago. So, be sure to check back for updates. This storm will be at its closest point to us on Sunday night into Monday.

After this storm passes an upper level disturbance will approach the Middle Atlantic area Monday night and Tuesday. This will likely cause another Nor'easter to develop but the location of development is still in question. It is possible that it could develop well off shore, giving us just some snow showers, while other data shows a possible blizzard with this storm.

So, basically anything is on the table right now in my opinion and you should be checking back here for the latest information.

After these storms pass another disturbance will approach next Friday night into Saturday with a chance of a bit of snow for us, followed by a chance of another big snowstorm next Monday and Tuesday.

“Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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