Sunday, October 2, 2016

Sunday, October 2, 2016 - Morning Weather Discussion

The entire East Coast should watch Matthew VERY closely…

The big news right now is that the model data overnight is telling us that we really need to watch Hurricane Matthew very closely. Much of the overnight data is now threatening the East Coast as we head towards next weekend. It is still too early to tell if the storm will make landfall, but the data now brings the storm very close to the Coastal Carolinas, then turns it north or northeastward from there.

Hurricane Matthew is currently a Category 4 storm in the Caribbean Sea with maximum sustained winds of 150 mph. The storm has started moving north and will cross Eastern Cuba or Haiti Tuesday. When it crosses the land of Eastern Cuba or Haiti it will lose some strength, then rapidly regain strength after clearing the land and heading towards the Bahamas. Hurricane Matthew will likely then become a strong Hurricane once again. It will then head towards Florida and the Carolinas. It looks most likely that it will remain off shore the East Coast of Florida and head towards the Coastal Carolinas. There is a chance that Hurricane Matthew could make landfall on the Coastal Carolinas. There is also a chance that the storm could turn northeastward prior to making landfall and either continue up the coast, making landfall further north, possibly as far north as Long Island or New England, or turn out to sea and miss the East Coast completely. It is just too early to tell what is in the future for Matthew, so please be sure to check back for updates.

Click here to view the latest on Hurricane Matthew from the National Hurricane Center.

Click here to view the latest satellite imagery of Hurricane Matthew.

This current forecast is based off the possibility of Hurricane Matthew coming close enough to the Allentown and New York Metropolitan areas to bring us at least some effects from this storm Saturday through next Tuesday.

Today we will continue to have a chance of a shower with highs in the 60’s.

Tomorrow and Tuesday we will have variably cloudy skies with a slight chance of a shower and highs in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s tomorrow and the mid 60’s to low 70’s Tuesday.

Wednesday through Friday should then be nice with highs in the mid to upper 60’s Wednesday, and the mid 60’s to low 70’s Thursday and Friday.

Saturday through next Thursday will all be dependent upon what happens with Hurricane Matthew. Based on the latest data this morning I will introduce a chance of showers and gusty winds developing Saturday and continuing through Tuesday as Hurricane Matthew has a chance of coming close enough to our area to affect our weather. A cold front would then move in behind the storm and bring us a chance of showers next Wednesday and Thursday. Highs should be in the mid 60’s to low 70’s Saturday and next Sunday, dropping to the low to mid 60’s next Monday, then rise to the mid to upper 60’s next Tuesday and Wednesday, before dropping to the upper 50’s to mid 60’s next Thursday.

If Hurricane Matthew goes further off the coast we would likely have nice weather next Saturday through Monday, then a chance of showers next Tuesday as the cold front moves through, followed by nice weather next Wednesday and Thursday. We will just have to wait and see.

Next Friday and Saturday then look nice, but cool, with highs in the 50’s.

Have a fantastic day!

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