Tuesday, October 4, 2016

Tuesday, October 4, 2016 - Morning Weather Discussion

Matthew will likely cause some significant problems for the Southeastern U.S. coastal areas…

Hurricane Matthew currently is a category 4 storm with maximum sustained winds of 145 mph. Matthew will cross Western Haiti and Eastern Cuba today, then head into the Bahamas tomorrow, then approach the East Coat of Florida Thursday. It then appears that just prior to landfall on the Florida East Coast, the storm will start turning northward, paralleling the Florida East Coast, then just prior to making landfall in South Carolina Saturday morning, the storm may turn northeastward and head towards the North Carolina where it may finally make landfall Saturday evening, or parallel the North Carolina Coast and continue heading northeast. This track would cause significant problems for coastal areas from Florida through Georgia and the Carolinas, where very significant coastal flooding and some wind damage would be likely.

Click here for the latest on Hurricane Matthew from the National Hurricane Center.

Click here for the latest satellite imagery of Hurricane Matthew.

Further north in our area, we will have a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm today, then nice days tomorrow and Thursday. Highs will be mainly in the mid to upper 60’s today and tomorrow, rising to the upper 60’s to mid 70’s Thursday.

Friday we will likely have some increasing cloudiness as Hurricane Matthew starts heading up the East Coast. There will be a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon or at night as moisture starts to increase ahead of the Hurricane. Highs will be in the upper 60’s to the mid 70’s.

Saturday and Sunday the weather will be completely dependent upon whether Matthew turns more north after reaching the North Carolina Coast, or heads more out to sea. It is still too early to tell, so for right now I will just say that there is a chance of a shower or thunderstorm Saturday and rain possible Sunday, especially along the coast and on Long Island. If the storm goes more out to sea, we could possibly get off without any rain whatsoever, and if the storm turns more up the coast we would likely get some very heavy rain, so be sure to check back for updates.

After Matthew passes it should be fairly nice Monday through next Thursday, with just a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm next Tuesday through Thursday. Highs should be mainly in the 60’s Monday through next Wednesday, dropping to the mid 50’s to low 60’s next Thursday.

Next Friday will be variably cloudy with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm as a disturbance approaches. Highs will be in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s.

Next Saturday and Sunday will then be variably cloudy with a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm and highs mainly in the low to mid 70’s.

Next Monday then looks nice with highs in the mid 50’s to low 60’s.

Have a fantastic day!

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