Wednesday, October 5, 2016

Wednesday, October 5, 2016 - Evening Weather Discussion

Worst case scenario possible in parts of the Southeastern U.S....

A worst case scenario is possible from about West Palm Beach Florida, through Orlando, Florida, up the Florida coast, the Georgia Coast, the South Carolina Coast, and to about Cape Hatteras, NC, as the eye of Matthew will parallel the coast in all these locations, possibly making landfall at Cape Canaveral, Florida and again near Charleston, South Carolina. Maximum sustained winds with Matthew at that time should be between about 120 and 145 mph.  Luckily, the worst of these winds should remain just off shore, but winds of between 100 and 120 mph hour are likely along the coast in many of these locations. In addition, rainfall will be a problem in these areas with 5-15 inches of rain likely, especially in Eastern South Carolina and up into all of Eastern North Carolina where up to 25 inches of rain will be possible.

Matthew will reach the Southeastern Coast of Florida tomorrow night, reaching Cape Canaveral (where the eye may make landfall) Friday morning. The storm will then track northward, reaching Charleston, South Carolina Saturday morning, and then turn northeast, reaching Wilmington, North Carolina Saturday night and will be south of Cape Hatteras, NC, Sunday morning. The storm should then move off the coast, sit and spin for a while, then head out to sea.

Anyone in coastal areas from roughly Miami, Florida to Cape Hatteras, North Carolina could receive destructive winds and flooding rains. The rains may be especially heavy in Eastern North Carolina where up to 25 inches of rain is possible.

This is a potential disaster. There is no other way to say it...

Click here for the latest on Hurricane Matthew from the National Hurricane Center.

Click here for the latest satellite imagery of Hurricane Matthew.

Anyway, here in the Allentown and New York City Metropolitan areas things will be much more quite with only a chance of a shower or thunderstorm Saturday afternoon and evening as a cold front moves through, and then it will be nice Sunday through Thursday, with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm next Friday through Tuesday, then nice weather next Wednesday. Highs should be mainly in the low 70's tomorrow, the low to mid 70's Friday, the 60's Saturday, the upper 50's to mid 60's Sunday through next Wednesday, then the upper 60's next Thursday through Saturday, and the mid to upper 70's next Sunday. Temperatures should then drop to the mid 50's to low 60's next Monday and Tuesday as a cold front moves through.

Have a wonderful evening and let's hope for the best for the people down in Southeastern U.S. Coastal areas.

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