More snow tomorrow night for some...
Well, there will be more snow for some of us tomorrow night, but honestly, the differences in the various model data this evening is quite dramatic for tomorrow night.
Tomorrow evening a Nor'easter will develop near the Southern Delmarva peninsula and will then head due east and out to sea Wednesday morning. Precipitation will move into our area tomorrow evening and continue into the early morning hours Wednesday. Right now it looks as if surface temperatures will be just cold enough for the precipitation to fall as snow in Northeastern PA, parts of East Central PA, parts of far Northwestern NJ, parts of Southeastern NY State and in Northern Fairfield County, CT, and possibly a little into Northeastern NJ.
The big question is how much? And this is truly a very difficult one to answer at this moment in time. As I said before, the differences in the data are quite substantial, especially in Northwestern NJ.
This could be anything from a nuisance storm affecting only Northeastern PA, far Northwestern NJ, Orange and Putnam Counties in NY, and Northern Fairfield County, CT, to a more significant snowstorm, with significant snowfall amounts in Northeastern PA, parts of East Central PA, Northwestern NJ, Southeastern NY State (especially Orange and Putnam Counties), and Northern Fairfield County, CT.
Honestly, the only sure bet right now for some snow is probably Northeastern PA, far Northern Sussex County NJ, and far Western Orange County, as much of the moisture will head in that direction. However, there remains a very real possibility of a significant snowstorm for most of the same people that had the snow this morning. So, let's just wait and see what the data shows tomorrow morning.
Some of the computer models that have done very well recently with the snowstorms in our area, have a very significant snowstorm tomorrow night for Northeastern PA, parts of East Central PA, Northwestern NJ, most of Southeastern NY State, and for Northern Fairfield County, CT, with some incredible snowfall amounts in Northeastern PA, far Northwestern NJ, and Western Orange County, NY, but I just don't buy it right now, however, it is not impossible. It is just as likely most of us get only rain, as this, but honestly and truly, I am not sure.
Right now, if I had to make a guess, it would be 1-4 inches for Northeastern PA and far Western Orange County, NY, with a dusting to an inch possible in East Central PA, Northwestern NJ, the rest of Southeastern NY State and Fairfield County, CT. BUT we will just have to wait and see.
Moving beyond that, it will clear out and get cold starting Friday, with the next chance of a storm being next Tuesday or Wednesday and then again next Sunday.
Please join me in the morning for the latest information as to whether we are dealing with a significant snowstorm tomorrow night for some of us or just a bit of snow and rain.
Have a wonderful evening...
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