Tuesday, December 6, 2016 - Evening Weather Discussion

Significant snow in Northeastern PA, but for the rest of us…

A Nor’easter is forming near the Southern Delmarva Peninsula tonight. This storm will head eastward and out to sea early tomorrow. This will cause rain and snow to develop in our area this evening and it will continue into early tomorrow morning. The precipitation will fall mainly as snow in Northeastern PA, and a mixture of rain and snow will fall in East Central PA, Northwestern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and in Northern Fairfield County, CT, with rain south and east of there.

Total projected snowfall amounts are as follows:

Coating to an inch or two possible, with higher amounts possible in the higher elevations:  East Central PA, Northwestern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and Northern Fairfield County, CT

1 to 3 inches possible:  extreme Western Orange County, NY

1 to 5 inches possible:  Northeastern PA

Well, that is my best guess, but one degree difference in temperature will make a huge difference in the ultimate outcome. It also appears that higher elevations have the potential to get much higher amounts than the valleys. It is also possible that any snow that falls in many parts of East Central PA, Northwestern NJ, most of Southeastern NY State, and in Northern Fairfield County, CT, may melt before accumulating, meaning that some, if not many areas in these places could end up with zero snow accumulation. On the other hand, if the data is off by only one degree, there could be significant accumulations in many of these same locations. BUT I will go with what I have above as my best guess based on all the available information at this moment in time. Let’s see how it works out.

Moving forward, things will clear out tomorrow and then it will get much colder starting Friday, with lows possibly dropping to the teens in the morning this coming weekend.

The next chance of rain or snow will be Sunday night into Tuesday, with a chance of snow developing Sunday night, then possibly changing to rain Monday into Tuesday.

Then the next potential storm will be next Saturday with a chance of rain or snow once again.

Have a wonderful evening and let’s see what happens in East Central PA, Northwestern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and in Northern Fairfield County, CT, and those of you in Northeastern PA, enjoy your snow!

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