The data has changed again and is heading back rapidly to what it was looking like a couple of days ago. I have seen this many times over the years. It seems that valuable data for the weather models is lost in the 3-5 day range. Often the storms are actually handled better when they are 5-7 days out than when they are 3-5 days out. I am guessing this is because the disturbance that is to produce the storm goes from land over Russia where there are at least some weather stations, then cuts across the Siberian Sea where there are few data stations, then cuts back over land in Alaska or Canada where there are once again more weather stations, allowing the models to see the storm development again. So, storm, then no storm, then storm again. Just my best guess. But anyway…
Tomorrow will be variably cloudy with a chance of a snow shower on Eastern Long Island. Highs will be in the mid 20’s to low 30’s.
Tuesday clouds will increase with snow developing as a cold front and disturbance approach from the west. The snow will start in the late morning in East Central and Northeastern PA, in the afternoon and early evening in Central and Northern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and Northern Fairfield County, CT, and in the evening in Central NJ, NYC, on Long Island, and in Southern Fairfield County, CT. Highs will be in the 30’s to low 40’s.
Wednesday into Thursday morning there will be a chance of snow as another disturbance may develop along the cold front over Eastern North Carolina. This storm may then strengthen as it heads northeastward, possibly turning into a Nor’easter. If this storm doesn’t develop, or develops and heads out to sea, the snow would end Wednesday morning. If the storm does develop, and tracks close to the coast, we could have a big snowstorm with snow continuing into Thursday morning. We will have to wait and see. Highs Wednesday will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s and Thursday in the mid 20’s to low 30’s.
Currently, the chances for at least some snow in our area have increased to about 90%, of a significant snowstorm is about 60%, and of a very significant snowstorm are about 20%.
Friday through next Sunday will then be nice with highs in the 30’s Friday, the mid to upper 40’s Saturday, and the mid 40’s to low 50’s next Sunday.
Next Monday there will be a chance of rain as a cold front passes through our area. Highs will be in the 50’s to low 60’s.
Next Tuesday and Wednesday will then be nice with highs in the mid 30’s to low 40’s next Tuesday and the upper 30’s to mid 40’s next Wednesday.
Next Thursday into Friday morning there will be a chance of rain or snow with highs in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.
Next Saturday will then be nice with highs in the mid 30’s to low 40’s.
Please check back for the latest information tomorrow morning…
Have a wonderful evening!
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