Tuesday, January 16, 2018

Tuesday, January 16, 2018 - Morning Weather Discussion

Significant Snowstorm for Some of Us…

I have been watching this storm for a while. The data was indicating the possibility of a significant snowstorm in parts of our area for today from at least a week ago, then the data dropped it, then it came right back. Some parts of our area will indeed be getting a significant snowstorm tonight into tomorrow, but it will be a fine line due to temperatures being just a bit too warm for snow in parts of our area…

There will be a chance of a snow flurry or shower early this morning and then light snow/snow showers/flurries developing between about 7 am and 10 am in East Central and Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ and Orange County, NY, then between about 1 pm and 6 pm in Northeastern NJ, the rest of Southeastern NY state and Fairfield County, CT, and rain or snow developing between about 5 pm and 7 pm in Central NJ, NYC and on Western Long Island, and between 7 pm and 9 pm on Eastern Long Island, highs in the 30’s to low 40’s.

Tomorrow the snow will end between about 1 pm and 3 pm in East Central and Northeastern PA, between about 3 pm and 5 pm in Northwestern NJ and Orange County, NY, about 5 pm and 7 pm in Northeastern NJ and the rest of Southeastern NY State, and snow ending in Fairfield County, CT and rain or snow ending between about 6 pm and 9 pm in Central NJ and on Long Island. Lows in the mid 20’s to mid 30’s and holding steady.

Total possible accumulations as follows:

Coating possible: Southeastern and Coastal NJ and Eastern Long Island

Coating to 1-2 inches possible:  Southwestern NJ, Mercer, Middlesex, Union, and Hudson Counties in NJ, and New York City

1-4 inches possible:  Somerset, Essex, Southeastern Bergen in NJ, and Southern Westchester County, NY

2-5 inches possible: Hunterdon, Southeastern Morris, Southern Passaic, Central Bergen, Southeastern Rockland, Central Westchester, Southern Fairfield County, CT

3-7 inches possible:  East Central PA, Southern Warren, Central Morris, Central Passaic, Northwestern Bergen, Northwestern Rockland, Northern Westchester, Central Fairfield County, CT

4-8 inches possible:  Northern Warren and Northwestern Morris Counties in NJ

5-9 inches possible: Northeastern PA, Sussex and Northern Passaic Counties in NJ

5-10 inches possible:  Orange and Putnam Counties in NY and Northern Fairfield County, CT


Thursday through Sunday will then be nice with highs in the mid 20’s to mid 30’s Thursday, the mid 30’s to mid 40’s Friday, the 40’s to low 50’s Saturday, and the upper 30’s and 40’s Sunday.

Monday there will be a chance of a shower in the morning, then rain will develop in the afternoon and continue into the night, possibly heavy at times as a cold front passes through our area. Highs will be in the upper 30’s and 40’s.

Next Tuesday and Wednesday will then be nice with highs in the 40’s to low 50’s next Tuesday and the upper 30’s to mid 40’s next Wednesday.

Next Thursday there will then be a chance of rain or snow as a disturbance passes through our area. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to low 40’s.

Next Friday will then be nice with highs in the 30’s.

Next Saturday and Sunday there will then be a chance of snow as a Nor’easter may develop along the Middle Atlantic Coast. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.

Next Monday then looks nice with highs in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.

Have a fantastic day and please join me this afternoon or evening for the latest information…

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