Sunday, February 17, 2019

Sunday, February 17, 2019 - Evening Weather Discussion

Some snow and ice tonight, significant in some places, and a bigger problem for much of our area Wednesday…

A disturbance approaching from the west will cause light snow to develop throughout our area this evening, starting between about 6 pm in East Central PA and 10 pm on Eastern Long Island, with light snow or light rain in Central NJ, becoming heavier between about 9 pm and 11 pm, changing quickly to rain in Central NJ, and to sleet and freezing rain in East Central PA, parts of Northeastern PA, and Northern NJ, and possibly to rain in NYC and on Long Island by midnight. The precipitation will end between around 6 am in East Central PA and 10 am on Eastern Long Island, followed by clearing. Highs will range from the mid to upper 30’s in Northeastern PA to the mid to upper 40’s in Central NJ.

Total possible snow and ice accumulation:

A trace possible:  Central NJ

A trace to an inch with locally higher amounts possible:  East Central PA, Northern NJ (roughly south of Rt. 80), NYC, and Long Island

One to three inches with locally higher amounts possible:  Northeastern PA, Northern NJ (roughly north of Rt. 80), Southern Westchester County, NY, and Southwestern CT

Two to five inches with locally higher amounts possible:  Orange, Rockland, Northern Westchester, and Putnam Counties in NY, and Northeastern Fairfield County, CT

More a bit later with the Evening Weather Discussion...

Tuesday will then be nice with highs in the mid 20’s to mid 30’s.

Wednesday another disturbance will approach from the west, causing snow to develop in the morning to early afternoon from southwest to northeast across our area, changing to sleet, then freezing rain, and then rain at night as warm air moves into our area. Highs will be late at night and will range from the upper 20’s to low 30’s in Northeastern PA, far Northwestern NJ, Southeastern NY State and Fairfield County, CT, to the mid to upper 30’s in Central NJ.

Total possible snowfall accumulations before any changeover to ice:

One to two inches possible:  far northern Northeast PA, Southeastern NY State, Fairfield County, CT, and Eastern Long Island

One to three inches possible:  southern portions of Northeastern PA, Northern NJ, NYC, and Western Long Island

Two to four inches possible:  East Central PA, Southern and Central NJ

Three to five inches possible:  Southeastern PA

A significant accumulation of ice is then possible in all of Eastern PA, Northern NJ, Southeastern NY State, and in Fairfield County, CT, after the changeover from snow Wednesday night.

Thursday the rain will end early in the morning, followed by clearing. Highs will be in the upper 40’s to mid 50’s.

Friday will then be nice with highs in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.

Saturday clouds will increase with rain developing at night, possibly starting as a brief period of snow, sleet, or freezing rain in some locations as a disturbance approaches from the west. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to low 40’s.

Next Sunday, February 24th, there will be a chance of rain as the disturbance passes through our area. Highs will be in the mid 40’s to low 50’s.

Next Monday, February 25th, and next Tuesday, February 26th, will then be nice with highs in the mid 30’s to low 40’s next Monday and the 30’s to low 40’s next Tuesday.

Next Wednesday, February 27th, there will be a chance of rain or snow as a disturbance passes through our area. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to low 40’s.

Next Thursday, February 28th there will be a chance of rain or snow ending in the morning, followed by clearing, as the disturbance departs our area. Highs will be in the mid 30’s to low 40’s.

Next Friday, March 1st, there will again be a chance of rain or snow as a disturbance passes through our area. Highs will be in the 30’s to low 40’s.

Next Saturday, March 2nd, is then looking nice with highs in the 30’s to low 40’s.

Have a wonderful evening!


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