Monday, March 17th, 2014 - Evening Weather Discussion

We have gotten really lucky so far this moth, with two storms missing us to the south and one missing us to the north.  It appears that our next chance of a big storm will be the middle of next week.  First though...

We will have a chance of some showers on Wednesday that could start as a brief period of snow in some places.

Thursday will then warm to the low to mid 50's, and to the low 50's again on Friday.

Saturday we could see a bit more rain that might again begin as some snow that would even have a chance to accumulate a dusting to an inch in some place.

Then next week I am starting to think we have a real chance at a very intense Nor'easter developing somewhere near the East Coast next Tuesday.

This storm would result from one disturbance dropping down from Canada at the same time that another disturbance moves along the Gulf Coast and the Polar Vortex moves into position over Southeastern Canada.  As the disturbance along the Gulf Coast moves northward up the coast, it should start to merge with the disturbance dropping down from Canada.  If these two disturbances fully phase it could very well lead to an unusually intense Nor'easter near the East Coast next Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. This is still a long way out, but I believe we need to keep a very close eye out for this possibility.

Below are some photos from just outside of Asbury Park today, courtesy of my mom.