Crazy late October weather on the way again this year…
Late October is known for crazy weather in our area. It all started with me on October 26th, 1981, when an F2 tornado nearly hit my home. Then we had a freak snowstorm October 29th, 2011, and Superstorm Sandy on October 29th, 2012. And some crazy weather may come to parts of our area again this weekend.
The high hit 83 degrees yesterday at my weather station in Allamuchy, Warren County, NJ, and it hit 82 degrees today! Incredible. And now we will have to watch as a Nor’easter is going to form this weekend and could actually bring some snowflakes to parts of our area Saturday, with accumulating and possibly significant snow for the Western Catskills, and Adirondacks in New York, the Berkshires of Western Massachusetts, The Green Mountains of Vermont and Northeastern Vermont, and the Northern White Mountains of New Hampshire. It is possible that 6 inches or more of snow could fall in some of these areas, especially in the Adirondacks where up to a foot is possible.
First though, tomorrow there will be a chance of showers with highs in the upper 50’s to low 60’s in Northeastern PA, the upper 50’s to mid 60’s in Northwestern NJ and Orange County, NY, the low to mid 60’s in East Central PA, and the mid to upper 60’s in Central and Northeastern NJ, Rockland, Westchester and Putnam Counties in NY, NYC, on Long Island, and in Fairfield County, CT. There could even be a few low 70’s in parts of Northeastern NJ and in NYC. Highs will be in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s in Central NJ.
Friday a strong cold front will approach from the west at the same time that a tropical disturbance approaches from the Atlantic Ocean. The two systems will merge Friday evening near Eastern Long Island, forming a strong Nor’easter. This storm will strengthen rapidly and head due north through New England. Cold air will filter in as the cold front moves through Saturday morning. This will leave us with a chance of showers Friday, and warm temperatures again, with a strong south wind ahead of the approaching cold front, and with the tropical disturbance approaching from the south. Highs will be in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s.
Saturday we will then have a chance of showers with temperatures dropping from the 50’s and 60’s in the morning to the 40’s and 50’s by evening. There could even be a few snowflakes mixed in with the rain in parts of the Poconos, with accumulating and possibly significant snow as close as the Western Catskill Mountains in New York State. The showers should end by evening in most places.
Sunday through next Thursday should then be nice, but cool, with highs in the mid 50’s to mid 60’s Sunday, the 50’s to low 60’s Monday, the mid 40’s to mid 50’s Tuesday, the upper 40’s to mid 50’s next Wednesday, and the 50’s next Thursday.
Next Thursday night through Saturday there will be a chance of a shower as a cold front approaches from the west. Highs will be in the low to mid 60’s next Friday, and the 50’s to low 60’s next Saturday.
Next Sunday through Tuesday then look nice with highs in the 50’s.
Have a wonderful evening!
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