Friday, September 30, 2011

Probably No Snow, But Will It be Sunny Next Week or Will There Be SEVERE Flooding Next Week?

Well, we probably won’t get any snow any longer this weekend as the upper level low may move further south than originally thought, although the possibility is not completely gone, it is less likely than it looked before, although Central Pennsylvania may still get some snow this weekend. The threat now turns to the possibility of flooding rains this coming week if the European model is correct, but I must mention that the American model does not have this threat at all, and just has sunny skies for us next week. The reason for the difference between the models is that the European model takes the upper level lower further south and removes our threat of wet snow in the higher terrain. Instead, it brings it south of us and off the Middle Atlantic Coast, producing a strong coastal storm that would stall out and bring heavy rains to Northern New Jersey for Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday, and lingering rains through next weekend. The American model does not do this at all and instead moves the upper level low out to sea on Monday. It is too early to tell which model is right, so for now, I will just put the chance of rain into the forecast for next week, but stay tuned because if the European model is wrong, it will be sunny next week instead. Of course, if it were right it would mean 3-5 inches of rain next week with SEVERE flooding. So, stay tuned!

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