Friday, October 19, 2012

Latest European Model for Extended Term

Definitely looks crazy and is backing up the American model.  Has an incredibly strong cold front approaching our area at the end of the 10-day period, and an approaching Tropical Storm coming in from the Caribbean Sea.  The cold air behind that cold front is just unreal.  I hate to say it, but if these things were to come together, look out.  This is amazingly similar to what happened last October.  The chances of these things coming together again this year has to be one in a million though.  I just gained access to the lower resolution version of the extended European model out to 15 days, and I can tell you that it does bring these pieces together and produces an all-out blizzard for New England around October 31, November 1, with the possibility of some wrap around snow showers here too.  We will have to wait and see, but I truly can't believe the looks of this cold air that may come down out of Canada.  Basically what is happening is that a strong storm will pull down ALL of the cold air from Canada, right over us, and at the same time that a strong low pressure area attacks us from either the Gulf of Mexico or the Atlantic Ocean.  This is similar to what happened last year with the October storm.  I remember the models throwing various solutions together to produce a major storm, as if they knew a major storm would occur at a certain time in a certain location, but did not know how the pieces would come together to produce the storm.  We shall see if this is what is happening again.  Stay tuned. 

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