The European model continues to keep us cold and dry and
does not produce the storm at all. Amazing differences on the
models. It is the European model cold and dry and every single other
model showing us getting 3-6 inches of snow on Tuesday. It is difficult
to go against the European model. When this happens, it is usually
because the European model is seeing something that the other models are
not. It was easy to say on the previous run that it could have been a bad
model run, but the chances of two bad runs of the European model in a row are
extremely small. I am leaning towards no storm at all at this point,
which is also hard for me to believe because it is very rare for us to go 2
weeks without getting a significant storm in this area this time of year.
If we miss this storm also next week, it could be because we are still in
transition to the next pattern development and we will still have to wait and
see what that pattern is going to be. Interesting. Cannot wait to
see what the National Weather Service headquarters has to say about this
situation in about an hour. I will post an update again later as the
evening model runs come in. Let us see what happens.
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