Tuesday, February 5, 2013

Evening Update



The Friday Nor'easter may truly be something unreal.  The questions remain as to what the impact will be in our specific area.  Right now, the best guess is 6-12 inches, but this can be less, or quite a bit more, depending upon the exact way this storm develops and then the exact track that it takes.  This storm will result from two storms coming together, one from the northern jet stream dropping down from Canada, and one in the southern jet stream that just came ashore in the Baja of California in Northern Mexico today.  The southern storm will move across Mexico and then along the Gulf Coast and into the Southeastern United States on Thursday, when it will start to phase with the storm dropping down from Canada.  These two storms will merge near Cape Hatteras, North Carolina on Thursday night and then form into a very powerful Nor'easter on Friday.  The exact track that this storm takes will determine how much snow we get here, and who ends up in the bull's eye of this potentially monstrous and historic Nor'easter.  Right now, it appears that areas from Eastern Long Island to Maine are in the bull's eye with the potential for 2-4 feet of snow, with our area being merely sideswiped with only 6-12 inches of snow.  If however these two systems fully phase only 6 hours earlier it would mean that the higher snowfall totals would fall further south and east into our area as well.  This is a real possibility.  Of course it is also possible that the storm could phase later and then the higher totals would be further north and east, although I see that being less likely than the chances for an earlier phase of the two storms.  Then, looking into next week, it appears there is the chance of a significant Nor'easter for next Wednesday as well, which could also bring significant snow to our area.  Check back early tomorrow morning for a quick update before around 5am, and the full daily forecast by around 6:15am.  Have a nice evening everyone. 
   

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