Historic Blizzard Still Possible on Friday

There is still a real possibility of a historic blizzard here on Friday.  It looks as if the snow will start around 4am lightly, and become steady and a bit heavier by 7am.  By 10am a steady fairly heavy snow should be falling, and by 12 noon it should be snowing hard.  The snow should be heaviest from the late afternoon through the early morning hours on Saturday.  The snow should end between 5am and 7am on Saturday morning.  Right now a good guess would be 12-18 inches throughout our area, almost exactly as I stated earlier today.  No big changes.  The only thing I can say is that somewhere between Central New Jersey and Boston, Massachusetts is likely to get 3 feet or more of snow.  That location has definitely trended closer to us on the models this evening, as the American model now agrees with the European model on the forecast listed above and with the forecast I issued this morning.  The American model actually shows the possibility of up to 3 feet of snow in areas as close as central Long Island and Southwest Connecticut, although it is possible that New York City and Long Island could also get some rain during the day, which could possibly hold them back on the accumulations to more like we get here.  Keep in mind it is still possible that this storm could move slightly in either direction, giving us more snow, or less.  Check back for more updates a bit later.