Sunday's Weather Discussion

Sorry for the delay in forecast today but I was waiting for the latest run of the European model to come out, as it shows a possible Nor’easter now for Friday.  The European model is currently the only model showing this, but it has now shown it on the past two runs, so I believe it is correct.  Will it be rain or snow though?  Right now, it appears to be mostly rain, but it is close.  Whether it is rain or snow will depend on exactly where and how it develops and tracks.  As I talked about previously, there will now be more energy coming into the country off the Pacific Ocean, and this energy will phase with energy dropping down out of Canada, likely creating a Nor’easter.  We will have to wait and see how it all develops.  In the mean time, we will have some flurries or a little light snow tomorrow night into Tuesday morning, with a dusting of accumulation possible in some locations.  We will then get another weak storm on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning, bringing more light snow, possibly accumulating to a dusting to an inch in some locations.  Then a storm may form along the Gulf Coast on Thursday and start phasing with a storm dropping down from Canada, resulting in the development of a possible Nor’easter for Friday.  This storm has the potential to be quite significant, and can be either rain or snow depending on exactly where and how it develops and tracks.  We will then have another storm on Monday, although this one will definitely be rain as warm air surges north ahead of a cold front.  Another storm may then develop behind this front for next Wednesday or Thursday (Valentine’s Day) and can be either rain or snow depending on how and where it develops and tracks.  This potential storm for next Wednesday or Thursday is the one I started talking about a few days ago.