American Model Ensemble Mean

The ensemble mean of the American model looks even more impressive than the operational run of the model with this storm and the amount of precipitation that it brings into our area.  This is always a warning sign as the operational run usually then continues to get worse until this trend stops.  It has not yet stopped.  On the other hand, we still need for the Canadian, British, and European models to show this storm significantly impact our area before we can be certain that this will be the end result and those models don't come out again until late tonight.