Friday, October 25th, 2013 - Morning Weather Discussion

We will have variably cloudy skies again today, with a chance of a rain or snow shower, followed by nice days through Tuesday, with only a slight chance of a shower on Tuesday.  On Wednesday a weak storm system will then approach, bringing a chance of some light rain or showers for Wednesday morning.  Then the big question comes as the European model and the American model again differ substantially in their handling of a cold front that will be approaching late next week.  The European model holds the cold front up until Saturday morning, meaning that we would have a nice Halloween, with temperatures in the mid to upper 40’s at trick or treat time, with showers for Friday and heavy rain likely on Saturday morning, followed by nice weather for later in the weekend.  The American model however remains very consistent in saying that we will have rain right in time for Halloween evening and it would be downright miserable for the trick or treaters.  It would then clear things out on Friday and then would develop a significant Nor'easter off the East Coast for Saturday night and Sunday that could bring us some rain, and would be very close to bringing us some snow.  The American model runs have definitely been consistent and quite interesting for late next week and next weekend and they may very well be correct.  However, due to the fact that I have been burned too many times by our wonderful American model , I will go with the European model again today, but please keep in mind that I would be the first to admit that the American model may very well be correct, and that would lead to an awful Halloween evening.  I am really hoping for the European model to be correct so we can have a nice evening for the little ones.  Check back for updates though as this forecast has a very low degree of confidence starting next Wednesday.