Sunday, October 13th, 2013 - Morning Weather Discussion

We will continue to see variably cloudy skies through tomorrow, followed by a mostly sunny day on Tuesday.  On Wednesday we will have increasing cloudiness with a chance of a shower in the afternoon and at night as a storm system approaches us from the west.  These showers and thunderstorms are likely to continue through the day on Thursday, possibly becoming heavy at night and continue into the early morning hours on Friday.  We will then get about 24 hours of nice weather from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning, and then the clouds will increase again as another storm system heads our way from the Southeastern United States.  This storm will bring us some rain on Saturday night and through the day on Sunday, possibly heavy at times on Sunday.  The chance of showers may continue into early on Monday, and then things should clear out, although again for a very brief period of time.  We will get a nice day next Tuesday, and then there will be a chance of a shower next Wednesday as a strong Nor’easter may form near the Delmarva Peninsula.  The storm may strengthen deeply as it heads north through our area next Thursday, possibly bringing us some heavy rain and threatening the highest elevations of the Appalachian Mountains in West Virginia and possibly Virginia with their first possible snow of the season, and then possibly into Western New York State.  This is the storm we will need to keep a close eye on.  There is likely to be a good deal of cold air available for this storm to work with and there have already been indications that this storm could turn into something fairly significant.  Where it develops and how it develops will determine who gets the worst of its eventual effects.  It is however looking to me that a strong Nor’easter type storm is likely to develop somewhere near the Delmarva Peninsula around the middle to end of next week.  The models have been showing this potential continuously, with the main question being the exact location of the storm and how it interacts with the cold air.  Unfortunately, this is similar to the concern we had faced the past two years at this time.  Only time will tell how all this will work out, but one thing I can say for sure, I see absolutely nothing even remotely like Sandy on the horizon, and we will probably never see anything like that again in our lives, so don’t worry about that.  However, someone in the Northeastern United States may very well get an early season snow out of this storm, and other places will likely need to worry about some flooding potential.  Check back for updates.