Wednesday, October 23rd, 2013 - Morning Weather Discussion

This storm today has gotten amazingly close to snow for the highest elevations of Northwestern New Jersey this morning as the temperatures at cloud level are supportive of snow and the temperatures near the ground have dropped to 33 degrees at my weather station this morning.  It will however warm after sunrise and the main effects from the storm will remain just to our south and east for coastal sections and central and southern New Jersey, otherwise we might have had a bit of snow in the higher elevations this morning.  This was very close to being my late October surprise that I had talked so much about for the past 2 months or so.  Anyway, moving forward, the cold air will really start to filter in to our area tonight, possibly changing any lingering rain showers to snow showers.  This chance of rain and snow showers will continue through Friday as Lake Effect snow showers are going to develop from the Great Lakes and some of these may very well make it into our area from time to time.  The high temperatures for today through Saturday will only be around 50 and the lows will be in the low to mid 30’s tomorrow and Friday, and in the upper 20’s to low 30’s on Saturday morning.  On Saturday night a weak storm system will approach our area, again bringing a chance of a rain or snow shower, which could linger into Sunday morning.  We should then clear out on Sunday afternoon and have a nice Monday and Tuesday with slightly warmer temperatures as well with highs in the mid to upper 50’s.  Next Wednesday we will likely have some showers as the next storm system approaches and these showers will continue into Halloween morning.  However, right now it looks as if the showers should clear out of our area by Halloween afternoon, leaving warmer temperatures and nice weather for Halloween evening for the trick or treaters with highs in the low 60’s for Halloween day and dropping to the low to mid 50’s by night.  Next Friday we will likely have rain as a strong system approaches our area from the west.  We will have temperatures next Thursday and Friday in the low 60’s due to the strong winds from the south ahead of the storm.  After this storm passes it will again pull cold air into our area from Canada and then those still hoping for our first snow will be interested in watching for a possible Nor’easter to form on Sunday, November 3^rd.  Depending on if and where this storm forms, it could be either rain or snow, but that is still a long way out and it is not even certain it will form at all.  We shall see.  Check back for updates.