Sunday, November 24th, 2013 - Evening Weather Discussion

We will have one more day of cold and dry weather tomorrow with a low in the mid to upper teens tomorrow morning and high in the mid 30's, followed by something we have not seen in quite a while, a good soaking rain, with up to 2 inches of rain possible on Tuesday night and Wednesday.  The precipitation will start as light snow, sleet, freezing rain, or rain between 4 pm and 6 pm on Tuesday evening and will change to light freezing rain in most locations, as the temperatures will drop from the mid to upper 30’s to the low 30’s once the precipitation starts, except possibly in extreme Northeast New Jersey.  The freezing rain will change to rain as temperatures start to warm between 10 pm and midnight, however there could be an accumulation of ice on the roads in some locations before the changeover.  The main concern would be that the timing of the freezing rain might coincide with the evening rush on Tuesday, so we need to keep a close eye on this.  Rain will then fall heavy at times during the morning hours on Wednesday prior to becoming light in the afternoon.  Then a bit of a second wave may develop in the afternoon and evening hours on Wednesday, bringing more rain at the same time that the cold air starts to make its way back into our area.  If this second wave does indeed develop the rain may start to change to snow between 7 pm and 10 pm from west to east across our area, with the snow ending between 10 pm and midnight from west to east, with a dusting of accumulation possible in extreme Northeast New Jersey and a dusting to 2 inches possible in extreme Northwest New Jersey.  It will then get quite cold for Thanksgiving Day with a high only in the upper 20’s, followed by lows in the mid to upper teens for Black Friday morning and a high in the low 30’s. Saturday will be very cold with a low in the low to mid teens and a high in the upper 20’s.  There will then be a chance of some light snow next Sunday as a weak storm system approaches, followed by a chance for some light rain or light snow next Monday. Next Tuesday and Wednesday another Nor'easter may form and we will just have to wait and see the track of that storm to know whether it will bring us rain or snow.