Sunday, November 24th, 2013 - Morning Weather Discussion

Well, it looks like we are really going to luck out with this storm on Tuesday night and Wednesday.  The cold air has moved into place today and we even had some Lake Effect snow showers drop a dusting of snow across Northern New Jersey last night.  We will likely get more Lake Effect snow showers this afternoon and the high probably won’t even make it to 30 in most locations.  The low tomorrow morning will drop to the mid to upper teens and the high will only be in the mid 30’s.  Then on Tuesday a low pressure area developing along the Gulf Coast will move northeast, taking a track right over us.  The precipitation will likely start as light snow or light rain between 4 pm and 6 pm on Tuesday evening, but after it starts the temperatures will fall quickly below freezing in most locations, except possibly in Northeastern New Jersey near the Hudson River.  This will allow for the precipitation to freeze on contact with the ground, causing light freezing rain which could cause some slippery road conditions.  The light freezing rain and rain should then change to rain between 8 pm and 10 pm as the temperatures start to warm above freezing.  The rain will then become heavy at times overnight and will continue through the day on Wednesday.  The temperatures will warm to the mid to upper 50’s on Wednesday morning as the warm air surges into our area with the storm.  The temperatures will then start to drop in the afternoon as the storm center passes by, dropping to the 40’s by late afternoon and the 30’s at night.  The rain may then change to light snow or flurries around midnight and continue into Thanksgiving morning, with a dusting to an inch of accumulation possible.  Total rainfall amounts with this storm may reach around 2.50 inches, which is much needed as it has been quite dry for the past few months.  Temperatures will then be cold again for Thanksgiving Day, Black Friday and beyond.  We will also have a chance of a snow shower on Thanksgiving Day, Black Friday, and on Saturday.  Then next Sunday and Monday we will have a chance of some light snow or flurries as a weak storm system approaches.  Next Tuesday and Wednesday a Nor'easter is likely to form along the coast and we will just have to wait and see the track of this storm, as the track that it takes will once again determine whether the precipitation falls as rain or snow.