Afternoon European Model Update

Right now there are some fairly heavy snow showers moving through the Route 78 corridor.  For the Thursday and Friday storm, the European model held firm with everything on this run, with the snow starting lightly before sunrise on Thursday and continuing into the evening with an inch of accumulation possible during the day.  Then the snow would become moderate at night, ending around sunrise on Friday, with total accumulations likely in the 4-6 inch range.  It pours cold air into our area as the storm departs, dropping temperatures to the upper single digits by morning on Friday and possibly not rising at all during the day on Friday, then dropping below zero in most areas on Friday night and rising to around 20 on Saturday.  It still has the 2^nd storm for Sunday night and Monday but it has weakened it somewhat, but we would still get heavy rain on Monday morning and winds gusting over 30 mph.  The rain would start lightly around mid day on Sunday and continue overnight, becoming heavy on Monday morning before tapering to snow showers by Monday evening.  Temperatures would rise to the low to mid 50’s, melting all the snow we got along with heavy rains, this would produce some flooding.  Also, with the softened ground from the warm temperatures and heavy rain, then the strong winds, we would have to worry about some trees coming down.  Then temperatures will plummet by evening, with temperatures dropping quickly to the mid to upper 20’s, creating the likelihood of a flash freeze situation, with lows then dropping to the single digits by Tuesday morning and holding steady all day.  Temperatures may then drop below zero in many locations on Wednesday morning and only rise to the teens on Wednesday.  Then another storm is likely to approach for next Thursday and Friday that would have the potential to bring us more rain or snow.  Wow, a wild ride it will be!