Sunday, January 12, 2014

European Model Ensemble Mean

It is bit more impressed with the Thursday potential storm and does combine forces slightly between the storm over the Great Lakes and the one along the East Coast.  It definitely indicates the possibility of this storm coming closer to the coast than the main operational run of the European model.  As I said before, this was the first operational run of the model to produce this type of solution for Thursday, so we will have to see what future runs do, but this might get interesting, maybe.  Then the ensemble mean shows a chance for some snow on Friday night into Saturday morning, again on Sunday night, then it shows the chance for a very significant storm for the middle of next week, and another weaker storm for the following Saturday.  All of these storms appear to be chances for snow after this Tuesday rain storm passes by.  The Tuesday storm seems to be the end to this pattern and a much colder and snowier pattern seems to take hold after this Tuesday.

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