Friday, January 31st, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

Well, it is looking as if I was correct last night.  The evolution of the Tuesday night and Wednesday storm changed because another storm popped up on Monday and the operational run of the European model wants to bring us a significant snowstorm now on Monday morning.  First though, for the Super Bowl weekend the temperatures will be much warmer, with highs today making it to the mid to upper 30’s, the low 40’s tomorrow, then the upper 40’s on Sunday.  There will however be a chance for a shower on Sunday, possibly even during the game, although any rain on Sunday would be very light.  Any rain showers, if we get any on Sunday would have a chance of changing to a snow shower late at night.  Then early on Monday morning snow is likely to develop in our area, ending late in the morning.  The snow could accumulate to 1-3 inches or more depending upon how much this storm develops and the exact track that it takes.  The operational run of the European model actually projected around 6 inches of snow throughout Northern New Jersey for Monday morning on this morning’s run, but I am not ready to jump on that just yet.  Let’s wait for one more run to see what happens with this potential.  Then on Tuesday night more snow is likely to develop, possibly changing to sleet and freezing rain late at night, then snow, sleet, or freezing rain, ending by Wednesday afternoon with significant accumulations of both snow and ice likely before possibly ending as rain.  Then it will get cold again for the end of next week prior to another storm approaching with more snow for next Friday night and Saturday.  Then going into the following week it will remain cold, with more chances for snow for the middle and end of that week.  As I said previously, the month of February is looking very cold and very snowy.  I will post a quick update this afternoon on the Monday potential snow after the next run of the European model run comes out.