Saturday, February 1, 2014

European Model Next Weekend's Storm - Potentially Strong Storm Next Weekend for the ENTIRE East Coast

This afternoon's run of the European model is showing the possibility of a very significant storm for the entire east coast of the United States from Georgia through Maine for next weekend.   It all depends upon the exact track that this storm takes and how it exactly decides to develop.  This run brings a chance for some freezing rain to areas of North Carolina and Virginia on Friday, then to Pennsylvania and Northern New Jersey on Saturday it brings snow changing to freezing rain, with snow for New England.  Then on Sunday it brings the possibility of at least some snow from Northern and Central Georgia through South Carolina and North Carolina, through Virginia, Maryland, and then the chance for significant snow with near blizzard conditions for Northern Pennsylvania, Northern New Jersey, New York State, New England and possibly into New York City itself.  Remember, this is just the potential that the model is showing, it is not any type of a guarantee, although I am honestly starting to think that this is a very real possibility.  I also feel that this storm may trend worse, and very possibly even further to the south along the Eastern Seaboard, all the way to Georgia on future runs.  Let's see what the ensemble mean says later.  I will post again after the ensemble mean comes out.  This run developed the storm a bit late, so much of the precipitation that falls south of Northern New Jersey on this run falls as rain, with a little snow on the back side of the storm, but I truly believe that will edge east on future runs.  More later.  Please tell everyone about this blog.  Thank you.

Edit:  the ensemble mean is in near perfect agreement with the operational run with this storm and the other storms prior to this as well.

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