Monday, February 3rd, 2014 - Evening Weather Discssion

I am as close as you can be to making a blizzard declaration for the East Coast of the United States, without actually doing it.  First though, we will be getting another significant storm in Northern New Jersey, Southeastern New York State, and in the New York City area late tomorrow night into Wednesday that will likely bring us another 4-10 inches of snow.  However, this time the snow is likely to mix with or change to sleet and freezing rain for part of the storm, which would hold down accumulations, hence the large range in amounts.  The snow is likely to start around 11 pm on Tuesday night and end around 4 pm on Wednesday afternoon.  Then moving forward, as I said before, I am as close to making a blizzard declaration for the East Coast of the United States as possible without actually doing so.  I will wait for one more model run to show the same thing that it did today and I will go ahead and make the declaration.  I am seeing things on this afternoon's runs of the models that have increased my confidence level enough that I can now fully envision a scenario that would produce 1-2 foot snowfall amounts and high winds for areas possibly as far south as Northern Georgia if things were to work out just right.  Now, who gets how much is always a tricky question, and the devil is in the details as they say.  Those details are often not worked out until you are within a day or possibly two of most of these events.  Those areas who receive snow from this storm will likely receive up to 1-2 FEET of snow and winds gusting 50-60 mph.  It is not yet clear exactly how far south this storm will develop.  If it develops far enough to the south it could bring blizzard or near blizzard conditions as far south as Northern Georgia.  The area that is most likely to experience these conditions at the moment would be from Northern Virginia, through Maryland, Delaware, the Eastern half of Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Southeastern New York, and up through New England.  If this storm develops further south this area would likely extend down through North Carolina, South Carolina, especially inland away from the coast, and into Northern Georgia, although as you head south of Virginia, and especially North Carolina, the likelihood decreases.  The storm would affect areas of the Southeast possibly as early as Saturday (most likely rain in the Southeast on Saturday until the storm starts to intensify on Sunday), but definitely on Sunday, and areas of the Middle Atlantic and Northeastern United States would be affected by this storm from Sunday morning through Monday morning, and possibly into Monday night.  Please check back for updates as this is a potentially very dangerous situation.  Please tell all of your family, friends, neighbors, relatives, and unknown people you have never met before about this blog.  Thank you and have nice evening.