The Polar Vortex has moved into position in Southeastern
Canada, supplying the Eastern United States with cold air.
Tomorrow two disturbances will drop down into the Central
United States at the same time that another disturbance moves along the Gulf
Coast. These three disturbances will
combine near Cape Hatteras, North Carolina tomorrow night, turning into one of
the most intense Nor’easters in history and the second strongest storm I have
ever seen in our area, only surpassed by Superstorm Sandy.
The Nor’easter will move to a position about 150 miles off
the coast of New Jersey by Wednesday morning and to about 100 miles east of
Cape Cod, Massachusetts on Wednesday afternoon.
If the above track verifies it would mean we will be on the
fringes of an extremely intense Nor’easter, surpassed in intensity by only
Superstorm Sandy. Luckily the center of
circulation of this storm will remain safely out in the open ocean.
The effects in our area will be that light to occasionally
moderate snow would fall from the late morning tomorrow through the early
morning on Wednesday, bringing the possibility of 1-4 inches of accumulation
for all of New Jersey and Southeastern New York. The eastern end of Long Island would receive
6-12 inches and Southeastern Massachusetts would get 1-2 feet.
Strong winds will also develop on Wednesday with gusts of
40-50 mph likely throughout our area, producing very cold wind chills and
likely bringing down some tree limbs and trees, and causing some power
outages. Winds on Eastern Long Island
will gust to 50-60 mph and winds in Southeastern Massachusetts will gust to
60-80 mph. The winds around the
immediate center of circulation of this storm, about 50 miles off the coast of
Cape Cod, will be gusting to around or just over 100 mph.
We are really lucky that we will be missing the center of
this storm. Just 50-100 miles off the
coast of New Jersey snowfall amounts would be 1-2 feet. We are that close to getting a
blizzard.
Now, this track is not yet for certain as the storm has not
even developed yet and won’t do so until tomorrow. A track further out to sea would mean less or
no snow and a track closer to the coast would mean more snow and wind, so be
sure to check back for updates.
We will likely warm up next Monday and Tuesday, possibly to the low 70's on Tuesday, but then more wintry type weather could return for next Wednesday.
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