Friday, April 11th, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

It will be warm today but we will have a chance of showers, especially tonight, with a high in the mid to upper 60’s.

Tomorrow will be quite nice with a high in the upper 60’s.

Sunday will be quite warm but there will be a slight chance of a shower with a high in the mid 70’s.

Monday will be amazing, with a high in the mid to upper 70’s as warm air surges north into our area ahead of a strong cold front.

Tuesday will be a crazy day with showers and thunderstorms heavy at times and the thunderstorms could be quite strong.  Temperatures will also drop quickly in the afternoon from a high around 60 to the mid to upper 30’s at night.

Early Wednesday morning the rain could even mix with or change to snow, sleet or freezing rain as the temperatures drop to the low to mid 30’s and there is even a chance of some accumulation, especially in the higher elevations of Northwest New Jersey.

Right now I calculate a 50% chance of the rain mixing with or changing to snow, sleet or freezing rain early on Wednesday morning, and a 25% chance of significant amounts of snow or ice, so please keep checking back for updates. 

Please keep in mind that when there is a 50% chance of the rain mixing with sleet and ice, this also means there is a 50% chance it won’t.  So, I am NOT saying it will mix with snow or ice, I am just saying that there is an even chance that it might. 

After this storm passes it will be quite chilly with a high on Wednesday only in the low 40’s and the upper 40’s on Thursday.

Temperatures will then remain chilly with highs mainly in the 50’s through the Easter weekend and into the following week.

So, why is there a chance we could see some snow and ice next Wednesday morning?  Well, the Polar Vortex will make a return visit to Southeastern Canada behind the cold front on Tuesday night.  A storm may then form along the front and throw precipitation back into the cold air behind the front early on Wednesday morning.  If the storm forms it could definitely bring us a bit of snow or ice.  The question is whether it will form and where exactly it tracks if it does.  We shall see.

Below are some interesting snowfall maps from a couple of major April snowstorms that I have seen in my life in our area, just to show it that it can snow in April, even if it does reach nearly 80 degrees the day before.  Of course, there were many other times we received snow in April, and later in the month as well, but those the ones depicted below are the two big ones.   

Click here to view a very interesting link about late-season snow in the Northeast.   

And click here to view the State Climatologist web page where he states that it can snow in Northern New Jersey through the end of April.

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