Tuesday, April 1, 2014

Tuesday, April 1st, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

This blog will be reaching a million page views very soon. I could not imagine that this would have ever even been possible.  I want to thank each and every one of you who made this possible and special thanks goes out to Mike and Heather Michels, Jim Dunbar, Dave Conca, Joe Diblasi, and Dan Bertelli, who were instrumental in producing this blog.    

Thanks a million in advance.  

I couldn't understand why I got a new Twitter follower yesterday from Long Island.  Until I saw that they got 4-5 inches of snow yesterday morning.  Yeah, I was pretty much the only person even talking about the possibility of snow yesterday morning and many of you saw the picture that my mother sent me that I posted of the snow falling in Asbury Park yesterday. 

Well, yeah, that same band dropped 4-5 inches of snow on Long Island. 

What is interesting is that I often see these possibilities from very far in advance but it is extremely difficult to get the exact location correct.  Every one of the storms I forecast in March happened, and they happened pretty much exactly as I predicted around 10 days in advance, but the snow part of the storm happened around 70 miles in all directions of us.  I will continue working on trying to get the exact locations correct, but from that far in advance it is extremely difficult to do.  Click here to see the amazing snowfall totals from Long Island yesterday morning. 

Moving forward, we will have some nice weather today with a high in the mid 50’s, followed by a chance of a shower tomorrow, Thursday, and Friday, with increasing chances through Friday and especially Friday night.  Temperatures will be in the mid 50’s tomorrow and Thursday, dropping to the low 40’s on Friday.

This coming weekend then looks quite nice with high possibly reaching the low to mid 60’s on Saturday, then dropping to the low 50’s on Sunday.    

Then next week there will be several disturbances to deal with and the models are still not sure how these pieces will come together.  The best guess right now would be that two pieces will come together to bring us a chance for rain or snow on Monday night into Tuesday and another piece bringing us a second chance for rain or snow on Wednesday night and Thursday.  It seems there may be enough cold air available to the north for these storms to produce snow if the storm tracks to our east, but if they track over us or to our west, warm air would stay in place, producing rain. 

We will have to wait and see what happens. 

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