Well, I have been talking about the possibility of some
interesting weather come the middle of next week and the European model went
nuts this morning, and I mean nuts. I am
fairly certain that what it is depicting won’t happen, but if it did, well, it
would be ridiculous…
Anyway, first the rain will end this morning, then things
will clear out and the high should reach the low to mid 60’s.
The weather will then be nice for Wednesday and Thursday
with the highs in the upper 50’s tomorrow and the mid 60’s on Thursday.
Friday we will then have a chance of showers and a high in
the mid 60’s.
Saturday the showers may linger into the morning, then
things will clear out and we will have nice days for Sunday and Monday, with
highs reaching the upper 60’s on Sunday and around 70 on Monday.
Next Tuesday things may get interesting as a strong cold
front is likely to approach our area from the west, bringing the chance of some
rain to our area next Tuesday afternoon and night that could be heavy at
times. The high on Tuesday should again
make it to the mid to upper 60’s before falling rapidly at night to around 40
by midnight.
Next Wednesday what is remaining of the Polar Vortex might
make a return visit to southeastern Canada, bringing unseasonably cold air back
to our area.
The European model has been depicting a storm forming along
this front for days now and you have been watching my probability of the rain
changing to flurries or snow increase from 10% to 20% to 30%, and now once more
to 40% next Wednesday morning. In fact,
as unlikely as it is, the European model manages to drop temperatures to the
upper 20’s next Wednesday (even during the day) as a Nor'easter forms on the
stalled out cold front along the coast and the remnants of the Polar Vortex
supply unseasonably cold air to our area.
The model shows incredible sleet and freezing rain next Wednesday in
Northern New Jersey, although in all honesty, it is extremely unlikely. However, the model has been saying this is
possible for many runs now, so I did put a chance of a mixture or rain. I did not go along with its ridiculously cold
temperatures on Wednesday though, as that would really be incredible. I just don’t buy it, but you never know. I imagine though that it will disappear on
the next run, as its ensembles give it only about a 5% chance of happening,
although there is now a 40% chance of the rain at least changing to flurries or sleet before ending on Wednesday morning. If
this storm does develop it could linger through Wednesday night.
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