Friday, October 10, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

Well, late October is on the way toward the end of my two-week forecast.  What does late October bring to our area?  How can anyone possibly forget?  Superstorm Sandy, the late October freak snowstorm that brought some areas a foot of heavy wet snow the year before that, the F2 tornado that got me interested in weather back in the early 80’s.  So, what will this year bring?  There are signs that something may be brewing.  Maybe…

First though, we will have a decent but cool day today with a high in the low 60’s.

Showers will move into the area tonight, probably after 9-10 pm, but they could start a bit earlier in some spots. 

Tomorrow morning there will be showers, but they will clear out in the afternoon.  It will however not warm up much with highs only in the mid to upper 50’s.

Sunday will then be quite nice, but quite cool with lows dropping as low as the mid 30’s in some of the coldest valleys of Northern New Jersey and highs around 60.

Tuesday through Friday will then be unsettled with a chance of showers each day, especially Thursday when they could be heavy at times.  The highs will start out quite warm on Tuesday with highs in the mid 70’s, gradually dropping to the mid 60’s on Friday.

Next Saturday through Monday should be quite nice with lows in the 40’s and highs in the mid 60’s.

Then, what oh what will happen?  It is now looking as if there is a chance of a tropical system approaching the Bahamas by next weekend.  This tropical system may very well reach hurricane status.  At the same time a strong cold front with an associated strong upper level low may be moving across the central United States and toward the East Coast of the United States.  The big question is what will happen after this?  The hurricane or tropical storm will almost definitely then start to move northward as this strong cold front approaches the East Coast.  There is the chance that these two systems could interact in our area toward the middle of the following week.  If they did they would bring us some pretty nasty weather.  There is also a possibility that the cold front will push the tropical storm or hurricane harmlessly out to sea.  Of course, my guard is up because history has proven that late October is the time to watch in Northern New Jersey and the New York City area.  Stay tuned…