Monday, November 17, 2014

Monday, November 17, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

Could we have a Thanksgiving Nor’easter? 

First though, as expected, this was not a big deal overnight.  In fact, I found hardly anyone in Northern New Jersey who got below freezing early this morning.  Northeast Pennsylvania does have some ice this morning however.  The rest of us will just have some rain today that will become heavy at times this afternoon and tonight with a high around 50.  The rain could end as a few flurries late tonight.

Tomorrow and Wednesday will then be brutally cold with highs only around 30 tomorrow and the lows will drop as low as the mid teens on Wednesday morning in the coldest locations with highs only in the low 30’s. 

Thursday will warm up just a bit with a high around 40, and then we will have a chance of a snow shower on Friday with highs in the mid to upper 30’s.

Saturday should be nice with highs in the mid to upper 30’s.

Sunday through Tuesday will then be MUCH WARMER as warm air surges north into our area ahead of an approaching cold front.  Highs will be around 50 on Sunday and in the upper 50’s next Monday and Tuesday.  We will however have to pay for this warmth with a chance of rain Sunday afternoon and night and a chance of showers and thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday. 

Wednesday the cold front may stall out along the East Coast.  A storm may then form on this front along the South Carolina Coast.  This storm may then turn due north and head up the coast, strengthening as it does so into a formidable Nor’easter for next Wednesday night and Thanksgiving Day, maybe.  This is still a long way out, but obviously with next Wednesday night be the business travel time of the year and with the big holiday next Thursday, this would be a problem.  Be sure to check back for updates.

It will then be cold behind this possible Nor’easter with a chance of snow showers for Black Friday through the following Sunday with highs in the low 40’s.

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