Sunday, December 14, 2014

Sunday, December 14, 2014 - Morning Weather Discussion

We will get a much needed break through Saturday morning, and then here we go…

Yes, the never ending cloudiness is still related to the storm that started here last Tuesday with the freezing rain and could even stick around into tomorrow.  The highs today and tomorrow should be around 40.

A weak storm system will then approach for Tuesday, bringing some showers in the afternoon and at night.  The high will be in the low to mid 40’s.

Wednesday should be variably cloudy and relatively warm with highs in the mid 40’s.

Thursday and Friday should then be variably cloudy and cooler with highs in the mid 30’s.

Next Saturday a storm system will start to develop along the Gulf Coast at the same time that another storm drops down from Canada into the Central Plains States.  These two systems are likely to merge in the Southeastern United States and start moving northeastward, strengthening as it does so.  The storm should reach a point about 50-100 miles off the New Jersey Coast by Sunday afternoon. 

If the track above verifies we would have a very significant snowstorm here next Saturday night and Sunday.  With this storm track, I would expect a widespread area of 6-12 inches of snow with localized amounts of 12-18 inches from Southeastern Missouri, through Western and Northern Kentucky, Southeastern Ohio, West Virginia, Western North Carolina, the Western half of Virginia  (possibly just west of Washington D.C.), Western Maryland (possibly just west of Baltimore), most of Pennsylvania (except possibly the extreme Northern counties bordering New York State but including Pike County, and possibly excluding extreme Southeastern Pennsylvania near Philadelphia), Northern New Jersey (a line from about Trenton to Edison and north), and extreme Southeastern New York State and possibly into New York City. 

This is IF the track I outlined above verifies.  This storm is very different from the last storm to affect our area and for that matter, that storm was one that we won’t likely see again anytime soon with a storm working its way back from Bermuda.  This storm will have lots of cold air to work with to our north, unlike the previous storm and won’t be attacked by warm air moving in off the ocean like the last one.  The one thing that could prevent this storm from affecting our area is that the strong high pressure area over Canada could become so strong that it pushes this storm to the south of us and out to sea, giving a big snowstorm to North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland and Southern New Jersey.  The other possibility is that the high pressure area over Canada would become a bit weaker and allow the storm to work its way further north.  If that were to happen then we could warm up and get rain.  The one thing I really don’t expect though is any freezing rain with this storm.  The track I outlined above is the way I see it now, subject to change of course, so don’t go changing any plans just yet. 

The storm should end on Sunday night, and then Monday and Tuesday should be pretty nice before the next storm system threatens our area on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.  This storm would result from another storm system dropping down from Canada and potentially merging with a storm moving along the Gulf Coast, then moving northward along the East Coast.  If this were to occur we would be facing a Christmas Eve and Christmas Day snowstorm. 

After that potential storm passes we will be facing yet another threat for a significant storm the Saturday and Sunday after Christmas and again the following Tuesday and Wednesday. 

Yeah, this winter is likely to be BAD!

Have a great day!

If you want to escape the cold, freezing rain, and snow, my dad owns a real estate company in Florida. Click here to view his company website.  

Follow this blog @ TheEdgeWeather on Twitter.

Also, you can access this blog at the following web addresses: edgeweather.com, theedgeweather.com, theedgeweather.net, edgeweather.net, theedgeweather.us, and edgeweather.us

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.