The European model will tell the story but it does not come out till 1 am. All I can say is that it has shifted east on its prior two runs, so I would expect another shift to the east on the next run.
This is the way these intense storms seem to go. Someone gets absolutely pummeled while someone only a few miles away gets almost nothing. I had the same thing a few years ago when Bergen County got 3 feet and I got 3 inches. Will it be the same tonight? It is possible.
It now looks as if the 3-4 foot snow amounts will end up in Southeastern Massachusetts.
I would now guess that Northwest NJ will end up with another 2-4 inches through tomorrow afternoon with 4-8 inches more possible in Northeastern and Central NJ. We shall see.
After this we will likely get an inch or so of snow on Thursday night, followed by the chance of a more important storm for Sunday night and Monday and another one for next Thursday and Friday.
I am not certain yet of my forecast for tonight and tomorrow morning and would like to see the European model later first, but I can only guess it will slide further east.
Easy come, easy go I guess. Such is the nature of these storms and weather in general.
Unless of course it throws us another surprise tonight.
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