Well, what can I say?
Here we go again… MAJOR Nor’easter potential Monday night and Tuesday… POSSIBLY even a blizzard for some, with
widespread 1-2 FOOT snowfall amounts possible…
Today I recorded 7.5 inches of snow at my location. I had forecast 6-8 inches of snow in Northern
New Jersey in the areas that did not mix with sleet and freezing rain. I had watched last evening as major New York
City television forecasters predicted 0-4 inches for Northern New Jersey. In actuality Northern New Jersey received 4-9
inches just as I said. The National Weather
Service was also only calling for 3-6 inches and only issued warnings AFTER the
6 inches had already fallen. Yeah, I
know I busted on a couple of forecasts earlier this year, but I pretty much
nailed this one. Click here to view snowfall totals for Central and Northwestern NJ and click here to view snowfall totals for Northeastern NJ.
Now, the BIG QUESTION is whether I get the next one right…
Here is the set-up...
Tomorrow will be the calm before the storm with just variably
cloudy skies and a chance of a flurry.
Monday morning around 1 am light snow should start to fall in
response to a low pressure area approaching the Middle Atlantic Coast from the
west. The light snow should continue until
the evening with a dusting to an inch or two of accumulation possible during
the day.
Monday evening the storm will intensify as it exits the
Middle Atlantic Coast. It will then start to move northward up the East Coast
and intensify rapidly. The storm will then reach a point about 100 miles off
the coast of Atlantic City on Tuesday morning and stall out before finally
moving eastward and away on Tuesday night.
If the track that I outlined above verifies, and I believe it
will. There will be widespread snowfall
amounts of 1-2 FEET from the Delmarva Peninsula and Eastern Maryland, through
Eastern Pennsylvania, ALL of New Jersey, Southeastern New York State including
New York City and Long Island, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts,
Southern Vermont, New Hampshire, and Southern Maine. Some locations within this band of 1-2 feet
could very well get more than 2 feet of snow.
It will also be very cold while the snow is falling with
temperatures likely only in the mid teens to mid 20’s the entire time the snow
is falling. This will allow for snow
drifts of 2-4 feet in many locations as the snow will be light and fluffy.
A lot of people have already asked me if this real. I agree, pinch me too, but yeah, confidence
is high, I repeat, confidence IS high. I
loved that segment from the movie War Games, for those of you who know what I
am talking about.
Of course, Mother Nature could throw us a surprise again, but
this is truly what I expect. Only time
will tell.
After this storm passes it will get VERY cold with lows
dropping to the single digits Wednesday and Thursday mornings and highs only in
the low to mid 20’s for the most part through the next two weeks.
The next chances for snow will then be Thursday night and
Friday morning, then next Sunday night and Monday, then the following Friday
and Saturday.
Please join me early in the morning for the latest on this
impending serious weather event.
You can be sure I will be up early tomorrow morning.
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at TheEdgeWeather.
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