Thursday, January 15, 2015

Thursday, January 15, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

Potentially interesting coastal storm on Sunday and Sunday night…

It will be nice but cold through Saturday with just a slight chance of a snow flurry tomorrow.  The highs will be in the low 30’s today and tomorrow and the upper 20’s on Saturday.  The low should drop to the upper single digits to the low teens on Saturday morning.

Sunday a storm may form along the Middle Atlantic Coast.  This is one of those storms where just about anything can happen.  In some ways it looks similar to the absolute fiasco storm of early December where it had looked initially as if we would get pummeled with heavy snow, then it looked like a combination of very heavy precipitation, then we got just some freezing rain but the main part of the storm missed us out to sea at the last minute.  This one has the potential to have some surprises associated with it as well. 

I see three possibilities with this storm on Sunday.  One is that the storm could nearly completely miss us out to sea, bringing us just a bit of rain on Sunday but no big deal.  The second possibility is that the storm could come closer to the New Jersey Coast and bring us heavy rain on Sunday, possibly changing to a bit of snow on Sunday night and snow showers on Monday.  The third possibility is that the storm could come close to the New Jersey Coast and intensify rapidly, pulling cold air down from the north and changing us over rapidly to snow on Sunday afternoon and potentially bringing heavy snow on Sunday night into Monday morning.  The most likely scenario is the second one, where we would get some rain on Sunday, possibly mixing with or changing to a bit of snow on Sunday night and snow showers on Monday but we shall see.  The highs on Sunday should be in the low 40’s.

Monday we should have snow showers as the storm pulls away with highs in the low to mid 30’s. 

Tuesday should be nice with highs in the upper 20’s.

Wednesday we will have a chance of light snow or some snow showers as a weak storm system approaches from the west.  The highs on Wednesday should be in the low 30’s.

Next Thursday should be nice with a high in the low 30’s.

Next Friday a storm system may form along the Gulf Coast and combine forces with a low pressure area dropping down from Canada.  This would cause the storm to move northward up the East Coast and threaten us with rain or snow next Friday depending on the track that the storm takes.  The highs next Friday should be in the mid 30’s.

Next Saturday and Sunday should be nice with highs in the upper 20’s.

Next Monday we will have a chance for snow as a storm approaches us from the west.  The highs next Monday should be in the mid to upper 20’s.

Next Tuesday and Wednesday should be mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 20’s.

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