Friday, February 20, 2015

Friday, February 20, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

The cold is simply amazing with a low this morning of -4 at my weather station in Allamuchy Township, Warren County, and it really does look like Alaska around here…

Once again, if you did not view the article that the New Jersey Herald did on this blog on Wednesday, you can click here to view it. It was an amazing article and I want to thank all of YOU who made this possible…

Moving forward, it will be very cold again today with a high only in the low to mid teens.

Tomorrow a storm system will approach from the southwest and it now looks as if much of the moisture with this storm will occur prior to any changeover with rain. This will leave us with snow developing between about 12 pm and 3 pm tomorrow from west to east across our area. The snow should then start to mix with and change to rain after midnight, but by then the majority of the precipitation should have already fallen with total snowfall accumulations of 3-6 inches in Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, and Southeastern NY, 2-4 inches in Northeastern NJ, and 1-3 inches in Central NJ, New York City, and on Long Island. It will warm up after the storm passes on Sunday with highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s.

Monday should then be mostly sunny but cold with highs only in the mid teens.

Tuesday we will have increasing cloudiness as two storms approach, one an Alberta Clipper (see key terms to the left on the page), and another a developing coastal low along the Southeast Coast. These two storms will eventually merge and likely bring a significant snowstorm to New England and possibly Eastern Long Island but we will likely end up sandwiched between both of these storms. This will leave us with a chance of some snow on Tuesday night into Wednesday morning but it is difficult to say at the moment whether we will be dealing with just some snow showers or something much more significant. We will need to keep a close eye on this situation to see how these two storms come together. Any faster merger of these two storms and this could go from a chance of a little snow to the chance of a lot of snow very quickly.

We will then have a chance of a snow shower on Thursday, followed by a mostly sunny day next Friday.

Next Saturday another coastal storm will develop and threaten us with snow developing in the afternoon or evening and continuing into Sunday.

Next Monday should then be nice and then a storm will approach from the southwest next Tuesday bringing us a chance of snow next Tuesday and Wednesday.

Next Thursday should then be variably cloudy with a chance of snow showers.

Yes, there is actually still no end in sight to this cold with chances for snow…

Please join me throughout the day for potential quick updates on the impending storms and tonight for my detailed weather discussion.

Have a wonderful day!.

"Weather on the Edge" by Dr. Edge.

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