Wednesday, February 11, 2015

Wednesday, February 11, 2015 - Morning Weather Discussion

Well, lots of stuff going on, BRUTAL COLD, and MANY chances for snow on the way over the next two weeks…

We will have one more nice day today before the snow and brutal cold arrive. It should be sunny today with highs in the low to mid 30’s.

Tomorrow an Alberta Clipper will approach our area (see key terms to the left of the page), bringing with it a chance for a bit of light snow that will start between about 9 am and 11 am and end between around 4 pm and 7 pm.  Accumulations should be very light with only a dusting to a half of an inch possible in some locations.

Friday the cold air will move in and it will be VERY COLD with lows approaching zero on Friday morning and highs only in the low to mid TEENS.

Saturday another Alberta Clipper will approach, BUT so will the Polar Vortex from Northern Canada. This could cause a very interesting situation to develop somewhere near our area as the systems approach on Saturday. This combination of events could cause a trough to develop as the low approaches the New Jersey Coast. This may cause a 50 or so mile wide band of snow to extend inward from the ocean (somewhat similar to Lake Effect snow). Within this band, if it develops and wherever it sets up there would likely be 2-6 inch or higher snowfall amounts on Saturday night. It is not yet possible to determine whether this will set up in our immediate area or to our north again, but we need to keep a close eye on it. I have seen these situations develop and they are highly unusual situations where you can literally have a snowstorm in a 5-10 mile wide band that extends hundreds of miles inland from ocean, but either side of this narrow band there is only a dusting. I think that this type of situation may develop somewhere in the Northeast on Saturday night, but we will just have to see where that ends up.  

Sunday the snow should come to an end early in the morning, and then things will clear out with highs only in the mid to upper teens.

Monday the Polar Vortex will be over our area so it will be EXTREMELY COLD in the morning with lows likely in the upper to mid single digits BELOW ZERO and highs only in the mid teens. I would not be surprised to see some temperatures of 15 degrees below zero in the coldest locations on Monday morning.

Tuesday we will then have a chance of a significant snowstorm as a low pressure area approaches from the southeast.

Next Wednesday the snow should come to an end early in the morning, and then it will clear out.

Next Thursday and Friday there is a slight chance of a coastal storm developing that would threaten us with more snow.

Next Saturday should then be nice before another storm system approaches our area from the southeast, bringing us another chance for snow next Sunday and Monday.

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