Wow, was this a difficult forecast this morning…
The often very reliable European model and its ensemble mean
continue to give us the most snow, along with the Canadian and Japanese models,
while the American and British models have shifted the storm south.
My decision is to cut back on my totals a bit as the
European model has let me down on more than one occasion this year at the last
minute.
This does however leave us with a sharp cut-off to the
snowfall totals tomorrow as you head north and west of about Rt. 78.
So much for the 50 degree temperatures today that some major
forecasters continued to blab about for the past week or so. Highs today won’t make it out of the 30’s.
This afternoon or tonight the light rain will start to mix
with or change to sleet, and then it will start changing to snow between about
6 pm and midnight or early tomorrow morning as you head from the northwest to
the southeast across our area.
The snow should then come to an end late tomorrow afternoon
or early in the evening.
If the American and British models are right we may only get
one or two inches in Northern NJ tonight
and tomorrow.
If the European and Canadian models are right we would get
closer to 5 inches.
No matter what, central NJ and Long Island should get 3-7
inches or so.
Moving beyond this storm it will be cold on Friday and
Saturday, then it will warm a bit but we will have a chance of a snow shower or
a bit of light snow Saturday night through Monday.
It should then be nice and warmer next Tuesday through
Thursday with highs in the low to mid 40’s.
Then next Friday night through Tuesday will likely be
unsettled with a chance of rain, snow, freezing rain, or sleet each day.
"Weather on the
Edge" by Dr. Edge.
Follow this blog
@TheEdgeWeather on Twitter or on Facebook at TheEdgeWeather.
Also, you can access
this blog at the following web addresses: edgeweather.com, theedgeweather.com,
theedgeweather.net, edgeweather.net, theedgeweather.us, and edgeweather.us
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.