Saturday, February 6, 2016 - Morning Weather Discussion

Two BIG Nor’easter possibilities Monday and Tuesday but will both of them miss?

We will have a nice day today with highs around 40.

Then tomorrow a Nor’easter will develop off the South Carolina Coast. This storm will intensify rapidly and has the potential to bring snow to areas of Coastal South and North Carolina on Sunday. This storm will then head northeastward, likely staying off shore far enough to keep most of dry, but possibly just brushing Eastern Long Island and Southeastern New England with some snow. There does however remain a very small chance that this storm could come closer to the coast so I will leave a slight chance of snow in the forecast for Sunday Night and Monday, although it is unlikely. Highs will be in the low to mid 40’s on Sunday and the mid 30’s on Monday.

After the monster storm passes by a strong upper level disturbance will approach from the west. At the moment it appears that this upper level disturbance would pass across the Virginias, bringing the Mountains of North Carolina, Tennessee, and West Virginia, as well as Western Virginia, some heavy snow Monday night into Tuesday morning.  It will then bring much lighter snowfall amounts to areas to the north, including the Allentown and New York City Metropolitan areas. That is if the current projected track holds. When the upper level disturbance reaches the coast it may cause a Nor’easter to develop on Tuesday. It does however look as if this low pressure will develop well off the coast, but close enough to bring Eastern Long Island a bit more snow, with heavier snowfall amounts possible in Southeastern New England. Highs will be in the mid 30’s on Tuesday.

So, yes this means that it is entirely possible that the Allentown and New York City Metropolitan areas could miss BOTH of these storms, getting only very minor accumulations.

We will just have to wait and see how all this works out. Be sure to check back for updates.

Wednesday we will have a chance of some lingering snow showers with highs in the mid 30’s.

Thursday should be sunny but cold with highs around 30.

Friday we will have increasing cloudiness with a chance of snow showers in the afternoon and evening as a cold front approaches. Highs will be around 30.

Next Saturday should then be mostly sunny but very cold as the Polar Vortex will be making a visit to our area. Highs will be only in the low to mid 20’s.

Next Sunday we will have increasing cloudiness with lows dropping to the mid to upper single digits and highs only in the low to mid 20’s.

Next Monday a storm system will be approaching from the west, bringing us a chance of snow developing at night and continue through the day on Tuesday. Highs will be around 30 next Monday and in the low to mid 30’s next Tuesday.

Next Wednesday through Friday should then be mostly sunny with temperatures gradually warming from the low to mid 30’s next Wednesday to around 40 next Thursday and the low to mid 40’s next Friday.

“Weather on the Edge", by Dr. Edge

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