Monday, December 5, 2016

Monday, December 5, 2016 - Morning Weather Discussion

More snow for some of us Tuesday night…

I recorded 1 inch of snowfall here at my location in Allamuchy, Warren County, NJ this morning and snowfall amounts of 1-2 inches occurred this morning in many parts of East Central and Northeastern PA, Northwestern NJ, and in Southeastern NY State. Click here to view a few of the snowfall totals from the National Weather Service in Mt. Holly, NJ.

The rain and snow will end this morning and then things will clear out. Highs today will be in the 40’s.

Tomorrow a storm system will approach from the southwest, causing clouds to increase, with rain and snow developing in the evening, between about 5 pm and 9 pm from south to north. This storm will develop into a weak Nor’easter near the Southern Delmarva Peninsula Tuesday night. It will then head east out to sea. This storm system now appears as if it will strengthen just enough to allow the cold air to remain in place in the same areas that received the snow this morning.  It also appears as if there could be a bit more moisture Tuesday night into early Wednesday than there was with the storm this morning. I will post below a guess for possible snowfall amounts, but please keep in mind that this could change quite a bit as we get better data tonight and tomorrow morning. Highs tomorrow will range from the upper 30’s in Northeastern PA to the mid 40’s in Central and Northeastern NJ, NYC, and on Long Island.

The rain and snow will end between about 4 am and 8 am Wednesday morning, then things will clear out. Highs will be in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s.

Total possible snowfall accumulations Tuesday night in Wednesday morning:

Coating Possible:  Central NJ

Coating to an inch possible:  Northeastern NJ, Southern Rockland and Westchester Counties in NY, and Southern Fairfield County, CT

1-2 inches possible: Putnam County, NY, Northern Rockland and Westchester Counties NY and Northern Fairfield County, CT

1-4 inches possible:  East Central PA, Northwestern NJ, and Orange County, NY

2-6 inches possible:  Northeastern PA


Thursday will then be variably cloudy with a chance of a rain or snow shower and highs ranging from the mid 30’s to the low 40’s.

Friday will be variably cloudy and cold with a slight chance of a snow shower as some Lake Effect moisture could make it into parts of our area. Highs will range from the upper 20’s to low 30’s in Northeastern PA to the upper 30’s to low 40’s in Central NJ, NYC, and on Long Island.

Saturday then looks mostly sunny but cold with lows dropping to the teens in many inland locations, and highs only in the mid 20’s to low 30’s.

Sunday there will be a chance of snow shower in the morning, then clearing. Highs will be in the 30’s inland and in the low 40’s along the coast.

Next Monday through Wednesday morning there will be a chance of rain or snow as a disturbance will pass through our area next Monday, followed by a second disturbance next Tuesday that could form into a Nor’easter along the Middle Atlantic Coast. Highs will be in the mainly in the 30’s inland and the low to mid 40’s along the coast and on Long Island.

Next Thursday then looks nice with highs in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.

Next Friday there will be a chance of rain or snow developing. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s.

Next Saturday there will be a chance of rain or snow as a storm system could develop along the Middle Atlantic Coast.

Next Sunday will be variably cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to mid 30’s inland and in the upper 30’s along the coast.

Have a fantastic day!

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